It's beginning to look like Peter Svidler prepared for Khanty-Mansiysk by reading the works of Stokely Carmichael because he's all about Black Power, baby! Check out this line of the Russian champ's games with the dark pieces.

Note that those last four in a row are classical wins. Insane and amazing. Kasparov had five black wins in a row at Linares, 1999 (Ivanchuk, Adams, Topalov, Svidler (!), Anand) and the fact that I remember that at all shows the rarefied ground Svidler is treading on here. He was helped in his latest effort by Alexander Grischuk's typically self-destructive time management -- a term that shouldn't really be used with Grischuk. It's like referring to Enron's financial management or my own calorie management. We often see Ivanchuk do this, too, and occasionally Kamsky, leaving themselves so little time on the clock that it's virtually irrelevant what they do on the board. Grischuk was down to a minute with 14 moves to play in a sharp position, as close to hopeless as could be imagined, especially against a phenomenally accurate player like Svidler. 24..Na4 is a wonderful move. So paradoxical and patient, moving away from the action.

glad to have you blogging again Mig.
So I guess it will be over tomorrow: Svidler has Black.
Anand won three blacks in a row at Linares 08 - Leko, Shirov and Carlsen.
Svidler won with Black yesterday and drew with White today to win the World Cup event. Chucky also beat Pono with Black and secured the 3rd spot for the candidates. So, the guaranteed spots are for Svidler, Grishchuk, Ivanchuck, Carlsen (ratings), Aronian(ratings), Kramnik(Ratings), Anand or Gelfand (loser of 2012 WCC). That leaves only the wild card player.
I still think Carlsen will boycott since he doesn't like privileges for the World Champion. If so, the 3rd ratings favorite is likely up for grabs. Even Topalov might get it apart from Rajda and Karyakin...
Never mind, I forgot the final is 4 rounds. I stand corrected :-)
Svidler deserves more respect. He is the Russian champion (in the strongest field in that event's history, where he beat Kramnik among others). Its nice that he'll finally get another chance to be in the WCC cycle.
Morozevich also belongs to the underestimated players. Only 0.5 from winning that Russian Championship instead of Svidler (that endgame against Nepo!) and before that he was only 0.5 behind Carlsen in Biel. Today he won against Vitiugov (2726) in an event that has been largely ignored this far (at least by all the live rating lists), the Moscow-S:t Petersburg match with other 2700+ players like Nepo and Jakovenko.
Regarding the rating spots, they are based on the average of the July 2011 and January 2012 rating lists. The situation is as follows:
July 2011 list: Karjakin 2788, Kramnik 2781, Nakamura 2770, Ivanchuk 2768, Topalov 2768, Mamedyarov 2765, Ponomariov 2764, Gashimov 2760, ... Radjabov 2744 (behind Gelfand and Grischuk who are already qualified)
Current live rating list: Kramnik 2791, Topalov 2768, Ivanchuk 2768, Radjabov 2767, Karjakin 2763, (Svidler 2760), Gashimov 2757, Nakamura 2753, (Grischuk 2749, Gelfand 2746), Ponomariov 2743
There are still several events to be played (at least Bilbao, Tal Memorial and London) but by now the race seems to be between Kramnik and Karjakin, with advantage Vlad.
As to Topalov: Will he play at all in the remaining months? Maybe the European Team Championship in November (I read that Nanjing is, at least, postponed until 2012). If he does NOT play he can qualify if Carlsen 'boycots', Karjakin loses another 15 points, and Ivanchuk loses a little bit (or beats Ponomariov). This would be a "bad case scenario", the worst case scenario is a candidates event in Bulgaria.
I didn't correct you. You did :-)
Of course Grischuk could also be counted as underestimated, he has done well the last months. He won Candidates matches against Kramnik and Aronian but got little credit for it. He reached the final here after beating some very strong players, and in between it was that Russian Championship where he too had great chances to win the title if things had been going his way a little more than they did. As it was he had to settle with third on tiebreak, ahead of Karjakin and Kramnik. He also reached a 2836 performance in the World Team Championship (where Svidler was the weak link with 2614).
He wasn't ahead of Karjakin and Kramnik. He tied with Karjakin and Kramnik for joint 3rd-5th.
Svidler was first. Morozevich 2nd.
I really enjoyed that post. Eat slower for better calorie management. I struggle with the same so I should know. I suppose I should be dispensing opening advice as well.
Sometimes Grischuk seems to make the heart-attack conditions work in his favor. When he wasn't handing out easy draws at Kazan wasn't he putting opponents on the defensive with HIS time trouble? Way to go, Alexander.
As Adorjan says, Black is OK! It's nice to see Svidler doing so well again; he seems like a great guy and is really easy to root for.
Bravo Pete Svidler, but it's also great to see Vassily overcome his usual case of the nerves to reach the final three.
He isn't there yet. But hopefully he will be.
Grischuk was third on tiebreak, as can be seen for example on the official tournament site. It was quite a big difference with regards to prize money, otherwise I guess it didn't matter much:
http://www.russiachess.org/content/view/6944/
Svidler himself said that he kept getting nothing out of the opening with white, and bad positions with black that he somehow could turn around. This may be modest and funny, nonetheless it's also a bit true. It shows that he's a great practical player - and Aronian once said "to beat a strong opponent with black you have to give him winning chances" (along with chances to go wrong). But I don't think this is what Adorjan had in mind.
It's harder to be worse with white out of the opening, but Ponomariov managed against Ivanchuk. It seems that _his_ nerves failed, or that he is simply tired (after all he played many tiebreaks including long ones).
In a well-known "tabiya" opening positions, he spent 13 minutes on 13.Ne6: which is known and known to be bad, then 25 minutes on the next two moves. Then he defended stubbornly and rather well before blundering (37.Rf5:??) in mild time trouble. A scenario one would rather expect from Ivanchuk!? Of course Chucky himself played well, at least well enough to win the game..
Apparently the Moscow - St. Petersburg games aren't rated (they announced it at the opening ceremony). It's been an odd event in general. We've become so spoiled with events in Russia that it's a small shock to the system to get one with no video and a broadcast of only 8 of the 10 games live. Plus at the moment there aren't even any photographs...
Interesting, Ivanchuk-Ponomariov has gone into a variation wherein Kasparov suffered a bad defeat in one of their early Wch games! White sacs a pawn for a bind.
1. c4 Nf6 2. d4 g6 3. Nc3 d5 4. Nf3 Bg7 5. Qb3 dxc4 6. Qxc4 O-O 7. e4 Bg4 8.
Be3 Nfd7 9. Rd1 Nc6 10. Be2 Nb6 11. Qc5 Qd6 12. e5 Qxc5 13. dxc5 Nc8 14. Bf4
Bxf3 15. Bxf3 Nxe5 16. Bxe5 Bxe5 17. O-O c6 18. Rfe1 Bg7 19. Rd7 Rb8 20. Ne4 *
bad defeat v Karpov, that is.
Remember that Svidler clinched the title with a round to spare, so the 0.5 winning margin is deceptively small....nevertheless, he has been among the game's elite for 15 years and hasn't received the fanfare that players like Moro or even Naka (who he is +5 against with no losses) have received despite being among the elite for a far shorter time than Svidler.
The full story is: In an earlier WCh game, Karpov got nothing with 14.Nb5. Then he won convincingly with 14.h3, but a few months later Timman repaired the variation with black against Karpov:
http://www.chessgames.com/perl/chesslike.pl?gid=1068504
All these games are from 1986 (the year I graduated from highschool). In a Dutch team competition game I got the same position on the board and won rather easily with black (my opponent was a few hundred points lower-rated); back at home my deja vu feelings were confirmed.
Now Ivanchuk's 14.Bf4 seems to be a novelty but maybe not an improvement, his compensation for the pawn may well be insufficient (not saying that he's lost).
Not that i really like to divert from this wonderful final (btw big kudos to the live whychess website, it's very well done) but Leontxo was today at the Spanish National Radio RNE as usually and let a few gems about what went between Carlsen and Kasparov: in short, Kasparov pushed too hard for Carlsen to "crush" Kramnik in Wijk aan Zee and after the game Magnus asked his father to end the collaboration. For the spanish talking, you may find the link on Leontxo's twitter or here: http://t.co/t5xkS9RZ
Interesting. Honestly, I believe one day in the future, the notion of black winning will not be so novel of an idea. Black has the same objective and yields very little in the first move. This is especially true since play among top players is mostly drawn. I believe that centuries of analyzing chess opening and strategies from white's point of view (even the mate problem books) is what has given white an edge. As chess evolves we will see more and more analysis of black counterplay. At this time, the analysis is not equal and white will have that advantage. However, Svidler proves it is not an anomoly. It is good for chess to see that we play an equal game.
I wonder if Leontxo wasn't quoting from story I first saw at Whychess which is quoting from a new book in Norwegian that relates this tale.
Anyhoo, the whychess site has nice article describing this.
http://www.whychess.org/node/1904
It seems to me you're right, although he only mentioned a norwegian writer, not the whychess site. He was much more focused into the education and way of work Carlsen has compared to the spartan way of life of old soviet style Kasparov. In any case, nice radio!
In the Chessbase report http://www.chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=7541
the photo of Maria Fominykh, WIM, Russia, is captioned "World Cup commentator Anna Sharevich, WGM from Belarus".
I have emailed them through the provided feedback form on the site a few hours ago and they still haven't corrected their mistake.
Chessbase is very unprofessional. It's not the first time they misdescribe photos either.
Maria Fominykh, WIM, Russia:
http://ratings.fide.com/card.phtml?event=4142411
Anna Sharevich, WGM, Belarus:
http://ratings.fide.com/card.phtml?event=13503189
Well, they are both blonde :)
ChessBase's coverage of the World Cup has been pretty uninspired. That report's just the official report - http://chess.ugrasport.com/?p=3673 - with the English cleaned up a bit and a few photos from the official site added. Having said that, I can very much understand not wanting to put in too much effort for reports on an event that goes on every day for 3 weeks...
Wonder how confusing it will be if rules are changed so black gets to move first? Could be a nice try to reduce draw percentages.
@krm: Yeah, that would be interesting =) Or we could just say White is the new Black.
I quote the most recent Twitter Updates:
***
Svidler!! Wins World Cup and $100k first prize.
@ChessVibes I don't count the 20% FIDE "tax" they use to inflate the prize funds.
***
Then it's $96k.
WhyChess also has a report on Kasparov giving a simul at the European parliament, where he is designated as "World Champion Garry Kasparov" ?! Shades of Fischer ?
Glad the three qualifiers are established super GMs - Svidler, Grischuk, Ivanchuk. None of that old kasimjanov/ponomariov/kamsky crap. Should give the next candidates cycle more credibility.
Thomas you didn't include Aronian and Carlsen in your rating posts... is it b/c you assume they are in for sure and are just analyzing the 3rd rating spot?
Your statement is quite illogical even by dailydirt standards. the job of qualifiers is to produce 'credible' candidates not the other way round.
Chessbase got their act together and corrected the photo caption, finally. They now call Maria a WGM while in reality she's only a WIM but I can live with that ;)
Yes, thank goodness we have powerhouse Grischuk (2749) instead of the weak patzers Ponomariov (2743) or Kamsky (2742).
Ponomariov is so bad he even dropped below 2700 in early 2005!
And Kamsky? What a joke! He might even drop out of the top ten on the next rating list...
But back then (April 2005), Ponomariov's Elo 2695 was good enough for world #20 - with one exception (he was 21st on the Oct 2007 list) Pono stayed in the top20 for the last 10 years.
@Matt: Correct!
I know you're trying to be controversial with that statement, but avoid sounding ignorant. Kamsky made it into the most recent candidates. That alone made him a very eligible player for the next cycle. If Ponomariov makes it to the penultimate round, he's also to be taken seriously, regardless of what you may emote.
I always imagine people like you being asked to repeat that right into the face of the mentioned players.
You would shrink from the assignment like the cs little violet that you are.
Is it so difficult to realize that this post is ironic, ken h?
Over the years I have commented many times on the high frequency of ironic comments being taken at face value on the DD. A cultural thing I spose.
I just ran afoul of the censor because I added that cs stands for chicken s**t.
OK, chesshire cat. The last line bends the cred a little.
You are funny, ken h. I certainly wouldn't mind repeating that to the faces of the mentioned players. They'd have no trouble recognizing the sarcasm and having chuckle at Anand Nair's "sounding ignorant."
Of your sarcasm perhaps. I'm pretty sure they wouldn't be entertained by Anand Nair's comment, which surely was chicken-s**t.
Let me give an explanation as why my hackles are up:
I play OTB in a local club and weekend tournaments here and there. There is a strong master at my club who is gracious enough to give postmortems at the drop of a hat - for games that he did not play!
I have respect for this guy and his analyses. Now he happens to be a minor expert on the French Defense, and recently, I saw him carrying around a copy of Vitiugov's new book on the French. W/o knowing who the author was, I said "Gee, what can you learn about that opening that you don't already know." He stopped me cold with "Well, it's written by a guy rated over 2700, so I'm sure I'll learn something."
I've talked to guys rated 2500+ who beat their brains out to get to that level, so I can't come close to imagining the kind of skill it takes to break 2700.
I therefore take umbrage with any dork who disparages the skill of anyone even at master level, much less a candidate for the World Championship, whatever the nationality.
Excellent! I support your post in every way!
I agree with you.
I'm surprised at all this criticism. One of the main reasons they have a "lottery-like" KO system to bring down the 128 player field to 3 is that its not practical to have a 8-10 game match over 7 rounds of candidates matches. And, as history has shown, its not uncommon to find a rank outsider win these kind of events. This outsider rightly deserves credit, prize money, etc. for being the last man standing. But how many would give him a chance against a world champion in a 12-14 game match.
Talking of respect, I'd travel miles, wait in snow, etc. to get a game against a kasimjanov or a kamsky, knowing fully well that they'd score a perfect score against a 2000-odd guy like me. And just because they are that superior to 2000-2500 rated guys, doesn't mean they'd be able to ensure a contest over 12 games against the world champion.
Usually in KOs like these its easier for a 'classier' guy to lose out to a 'lesser' guy due to a bad day/bad luck/etc. And all I'm saying is I'm just glad we didn't see much of that this time.
The criticism wasn't about favorites prevailing rather than outsiders reaching the final stage, but about calling Ponomariov and Kamsky "crap". Kasimdzhanov was an outsider who had ONE big success in his entire career - before and afterwards he is/was just a respectable GM (Anand's long-term second for a reason) but no world-top player. Ponomariov was an outsider or rising star when he won back in 2002 - but subsequently he established himself as a world top player who is not, at least not much weaker than Svidler or Grischuk (Ivanchuk is a story by itself). Kamsky was a surprise winner four years ago, but he is also extended world top (even though IMO he didn't quite reach his former level after returning from retirement, at least not consistently).
If you had instead written "I am glad my favorite players have qualified for the candidates event", noone would have criticized you.
Hear, hear, ken h, but I'd extend your caveat against disparagement...to everyone from experts to flat-out beginners as well.
Ah, Anand Nair, you've changed your tune. I'm with you...the 128-player knockout format is not a good way to pick three candidates (and a TERRIBLE way to pick a "world champion"). This year's top three are all terrific. There are several others that would have been great picks too: Ponomariov, Kamsky, Gashimov, Radjabov, Karjakin, Nepomniachtchi, Mamedyarov. But something like a double RR or longer matches among a smaller group would be an improvement.
Ken, very, very wise words. Thank you.
From where I stand, the 2000 elo level is something to solemnly respect. The statistical resistance to moving beyond that is considerable.
"On his way to the World Championship, Mikhail Botvinnik wrote that he had to learn 'to defeat players who are outstanding even among masters, in other words, to beat grandmasters'". Then he had to learn to beat the top grandmasters. Exactly as you say. Thank you. dk
Ken, very, very wise words. Thank you.
From where I stand, the 2000 elo level is something to solemnly respect. The statistical resistance to moving beyond that is considerable.
"On his way to the World Championship, Mikhail Botvinnik wrote that he had to learn 'to defeat players who are outstanding even among masters, in other words, to beat grandmasters'". Then he had to learn to beat the top grandmasters.
Exactly as you say. Thank you. dk
dude - uff da was clearly being sarcastic - vent your ire on anand nair who clearly made an illogical and insulting (to the players) statement
I realize it. You're just late to the party.
(Thanks David. I'm not trying to issue words of wisdom. Just trying to remind a few people that we're dealing with real people here - not cardboard cut outs).
An excellent long interview with Levon Aronian on film, literature, music and occasionally chess :)
http://whychess.org/node/1960
"ChessBase's coverage of the World Cup has been pretty uninspired."
Chessbase now has an article on "people who made it possible": http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=7545
"I want to express my admiration for the professional and creative work of ChessBase," wrote the Press Officer of the event. "Your brilliant reports helped the entire chess world enjoy the events in Khanty-Mansiysk during this tournament." Not at all, Nick [Nikita Kim]. The organisers of the World Cup went to extraordinary lengths to provide us with any assistance we needed. For this we thank you and look forward to a similar cooperation in future events."
A bit further down they show the difference between Fominikh and Sharevich: Fominikh wears a sleeveless brown blouse :) .
Sometimes CB just takes your breath away :)
By the way, the Tal Memorial line-up's been announced - not too shabby! http://www.whychess.org/node/1995
I find the quote from Nikita Kim even more amazing. Assuming that it's authentic, didn't he recognize the writing of his own team or was he actually deeply ironic?? That being said, I guess Chessbase did reach a wider, or at least a different audience than the event homepage - and there's not much wrong with giving late but due credit to those who, along with the players, ran the show in KM.
At Tal Memorial, Svidler seems to replace Wang Hao who is apparently still suffering from heart problems - I don't think the organizers would or could un-invite a Chinese to make room for another Russian.
If Grischuk had won the final in Khanty, they had to choose between a Russian champion from St. Petersburg and a World Cup winner from Moscow ... .
Anand is finally playing in three tournaments in the next three months. It is almost imperative that he wins atleast one of them to preserve the reputation of the world champion title.Too bad if a world champion cannot win even one tournament in 3-4 years. I can't recall any world champion having such a long drought.
Moronic post....just like the Kramnik fanboys in 2007 saying Vishy's title wasn't real b/c he hadn't won it in matchplay...they were silenced when he thrashed Vladdy a year later.
Anand went years winning every big tournament and was then called not elite because he hadn't become World Champion. You can't have it both ways. Anyone who knows chess knows that Anand is more than worthy to be World Champion.
Considering the existence of wch matches in such short succession it is pretty good. Atleast we will never know how the others (in the contemporary workd) would have fared with the wch matches going on. Here is the break down anyway
2008 won linares, mainz and the bonn wch. Did not win amber, Mainz , corus and Bilbao. That's 3 out of 7. Pretty good considering one was a wch match.
2009. Won leko-Anand rapid, azerbaijan vs world(winning team) Dint win world blitz, linares, Zurich rapid, amber, Mainz, tal memorial. That's 2/8. Less than expected.
2010. Won wch with topalov, Dint win corus, Nanjing pearl, Bilbao, london chess, arctic securities. That's 1/6. Less than expected but one was the wch match
2011. Won anand-shirov, botvinnik, anand-kazim rapid. Dint win tata steel, amber. That's 3/5. Pretty good with 3 more chances.
Great lineup (though it'd be interesting to see Topalov again...). It appears they're trying to give Nepo some good exposure to the top players, as he's certainly one of the most promising young players around.
Nepomniachtchi may have been invited (also) because he was Russian champion when the field was put together.
As to Topalov: I don't think he was 'under consideration' for Tal Memorial, nor would he accept an invitation to an event in Russia. His inactivity may be partly because his favorite events (Linares, MTel, seemingly also Nanjing) don't take place this year. However, he was apparently invited to Bilbao - the tournament homepage states that [Vallejo was invited] "because the five other players in the top ten have unavoidable professional or personal commitments for those dates". At the time of writing, these were Kramnik, Karjakin (both with very busy schedules), Topalov ("personal commitments?!"), Mamedyarov and Ponomariov (both play at the European Club Cup).
Will Topalov play at the European Team Championship in November? If not, we can start assuming that he has silently retired ... .
just a passing observation, probably made by others already, that although Svidler never did fully establish himself as a SuperGM in the mid-90s he seems to have gotten a second wind and succeeded in recent years... lots of surprise victories and top results.
Good to see Nepo get another shot at the big time. It's hard to predict how he'll do given his inconsistentcy this past year, but whatever the talent perceived, within that field at Tal Memorial he's destined to share the ladder's lower rungs with Vallejo (correct pronunciation as in yecch-o) Pons. But we should also expect at least one upset.
Of course Anand is a worthy world champion but his performance outside the WCC has not been very good. V poor when compared to Karpov or Kasparov perhaps it stands comparison with Kramnik Spassky or Petrosian? Perhaps not. More frequent WCC matches ?? but much shorter. He is more first among equals than clearly the best player - never dominant in classical chess. For all that a worthy WCC who will be tough to topple in match play with a very balanced all round game utterly professional and virtually flawless judgment. Also appears a great person to have as WCC.
hmmm cannot imagine anything that Levon has to say about anything than chess could be remotely interesting just like kasparov. At leat in
Levons case its not his fault people ask him. Ability in chess is evidence of well ...ability in chess period. Its like those old soccer annuals when they would ask a player what his favourite colour, meal, tv programme etc was.
I think Nepo has a better chance of upsetting at the Tal Memorial than Vallejo has at Bilbao (which is what I assume you meant, since Vallejo isn't playing at the Tal Memorial). In any case, it's a heck of a gauntlet he's got to run, virtually all of the top players in the world right now. Just wish it was a double round robin, but you can't have everything. Should still be a great show, and hopefully the players will bring some of Tal's creative and fighting spirit to the games (which, if I remember correctly, they generally do in this tournament).
In the computer age, there will be no no one dominant player. The age of dominance where hours of preparation can only matched be hours at the other end is no more true. That is the reason Kasparov dominated since his preparations for the match can be endlessly reused in the tournaments. Nowadays all the hours spent on openings is just used in that one game and you have to start all over again. So it is not possible that wch dominates in both matches and tournaments at the same time. Well Carlsen has done well in tournaments but hey quit the cycle stating clearly that he wants to concentrate on tournaments. In spite of that Anand has done reasonably well. Granted he dint win classical events for a while, but ok he came in shared first or second in several. Just that the point system in London dint give him first for eg. His rating has been on the rise and he is currently at his career best.
Now this will spice of bilbao even more if this article is true http://www.whychess.org/node/2018
need some real dirt now about the Nakamura being trained by Kasparov rumor. DD - live up to thy name!
Such a rumor might spice up Bilbao even if it isn't true ... .
I am actually somewhat skeptical: Dennis Monokroussos is a "highly-respected chess blogger" (no disagreement from my side) but IMO it's safe to consider him a fan of Nakamura. I do not mean to imply that he is willing to create a rumor "at least three people away from an original source", but that he might be interested in spreading it.
The timing is quite 'peculiar': just before the first round of Bilbao (the Carlsen-Kasparov connection was revealed right before Nanjing) and also at a moment when the "Nakamura brand" may have lost some appeal - due to his relatively poor results in Bazna and Dortmund and due to his decision to skip the World Cup. On the other hand, this could be the moment to (finally) realize/admit that Kris Littlejohn as sole assistant isn't enough against the world top.
BTW, first prize in Wijk aan Zee was "just" 10,000 Euros - probably not enough to pay Kasparov. But of course he also got an appearance fee, plus appearance fees for Bazna and Dortmund, plus appearance fee and/or prize money for Bilbao - plusplusplus Rex Sinquefield!?
Kasparov and Nakamura appear to have similar personalities - I can see them being a much better fit than Kasparov and Carlsen.
It's not a rumor. They started working together in December 2010 right before Tata. Rex is paying Kasparov $250,000 a year to work with Nakamura.
And 6you know that how exactly?
Yea, that's a rumor worth tracking down. In hindsight, though, you have to wonder if true, why has Hikaru not shown much improvement since December 2010. His opening repertoire was wide and probably as deep before that date. What has changed there?
Or, although he has had some good results since 12/2010, why has he recently stalled?
Anand starts out with rather uninspired game as White. Can't be bothered checking the stats but he seems to have been shooting into the wind as White for quite some time, relatively speaking.
You are right. His performance with white in tournaments has been pretty abysmal for someone with his rating. He is already thinking about Gelfand next spring. He will not win with white unless his opponent takes chances. He is preparing d4, but not playing it in any tournaments.
"Some good results" is basically one good result in Wijk aan Zee. And maybe the match against Ponomariov, but IMHO Nakamura didn't really impress at that occasion.
In any case, IF they already work together since 12/2010, Dennis Monokroussos may turn out to be wrong: "My [DM's] prediction is that if the story proves true and they make it work, the American will his 2800 within a year." In nine months Nakamura went from Elo 2751 to 2753, three months and three events (Bilbao, Tal Memorial, London) remaining, 47 points missing for the time being ... .
Also, what is meant by "working with Kasparov"?
-- the exchange of some email?
Of course the old master is eager to pass his knowledge and experience to the young gifted pupil.
But neather Kasparov is like Yoda nor Naka like Luke:-)
Interesting speculation about Nakamura & Kasparov...
I can imagine that someone working with Kasparov might skip the US championship and seek out stronger competition, but then to play in the poker championships instead and Kings vs. Queens? If he WAS working with Kaspy, I'd bet he isn't anymore!
Hard to say. While have a cache of strong opening novelties is important, there still is room for fighting spirit and sheer tactical acumen to manifest itself. Carlsen is noted for winning games in the middlegame--not necessarily starting out with a big edge from the opening. The best tactician should be the best player. You never know when the next great player will emerge.
One issue is that few players adapt a maximalist strategy: taking risks to win as White and as Black. Without that full commitment, a player is not going to reach 2851
He had sort of a unfortunate pairing, getting his first round White against Carlsen. Once the Ruy Lopez Berlin was chosen by Carlsen, there wasn't much that Anand could do to alter the result.
Aronian also had an undesireable pairing, but he did what he needed to do.
The winner of the tournament is likely to be one of the Big 3: Anand, Aronian, or Carlsen. I expect the winner will be the one who totes up the biggest score against the outsiders (Nakamura, Ivanchuk, and Vallejo).
This will be an interesting test for Nakamura, as there are no Dutch players to feed on. Only Vallejo is an obvious "customer", but Nakamura has to face the Big 3 six times, with equal colors. If he wins, or finishes either at +2 or within a half-point of 1st Place, then Nakamura will have gone a long way to dispell doubts about his ability to compete against a compact field of this level.
If the rumors about Kasparov are true, then the 2 Nakamura--Carlsen games might be of particular interest. kasparov might be particularly motivated to share some Top Shelf novelties, just for the satisfaction for a bit of revenge
Utter crap (re: once the Berlin was chosen).
Utter crap (re: once the Berlin was chosen).
"The best tactician should be the best player." ?
Not true. Botvinnik and Petrosian, to name just a few prominent players, were fine tacticians, but not the best of their day. They played strong positional chess supported by enough tactical implementation to succeed.
I agree that the importance of opening preparation is overestimated: it's necessary because everyone does it, at the same time this means that no single player can claim a big advantage compared to his peers. Recently there is actually some tendency to avoid the most topical lines (which, after some tactical fireworks, may result in a forced draw or sterile position) in favor of less ambitious setups (1.c4, d3 lines against the Ruy Lopez, etc.) which result in equal but playable positions. This also means that, IMHO, Kasparov's role in that respect is a bit overestimated: he was dominant at his prime, but now others use the same approach and put in the same amount of hard work.
"The best tactician should be the best player." Along with kenh, I disagree. The most universal player should be the best player - someone who is equally comfortable in attack and defense, tactical fireworks and slow positional maneouvring.
"maximalist strategy: taking risks to win as White and as Black. Without that full commitment, a player is not going to reach 2851"
Also not completely true: Kramnik relied heavily on the white pieces - this has changed a bit recently, but he has been well above 2750 for many years. Karjakin is also much stronger with the white pieces. And Radjabov is as opposite as it gets: aggressive and ambitious with black, rather tame with white (71% draws).
Overall, your picture seems a bit Nakamura-centric: He is a great tactician who (if you look at some of his losses) lacks world-top positional skills. His "maximalist attitude" includes failing to accept that a draw can be a logical and legitimate result. That's why his Elo is "just" 2751 rather than 2780 or 2800. Whether Sinquefield's money and Kasparovian magic can reduce or eliminate such weaknesses (little room to capitalize on his strengths even more?) remains to be seen.
Did Carlsen not find the best moves in that ending, or was the 1.90 machine valuation just wrong?
Ken, it is not usually a good idea to pay any attention to machine evaluations in rook endings (cept sometimes tablebases, of course, being perfect n all).
To my limited knowledge the ending that arose was a theoretical draw.
Noted for future, cc.
Thx.
Amazing depth level from Anand! At some point you could even say he was playing depth level 42!!! And probably Nakamura too.
15.axb5 takes you to a draw, more or less.
15.axb5 axb5 16.Rxa8 Qxa8 17.0-0 Qc6 as played by them and the computer suggests a sacrificial drawing line as below.
(18. e5 Nd5 19. Bf3 N7b6 20. Ne4 Be7 21. Nd6+ Bxd6 22. exd6 O-O 23. h4 gxh4 24. Be5 f6 25. Be4 fxe5 26. Qg4+ Kh8 27. Qxe6 Qd7 28. Qxh6+ Kg8 29. Qg6+ Kh8 30. Qh6+ Kg8 31. Qg6+ Kh8 32. Qh6+ Kg8 33. Qg6+ Rybka Aquarium (0:01:41) +0.00|d19 equal chances)
And now Naka deviates from the drawish line with 18.e5 Nd5 19.Nxd5 Qxd5 20.Qa1!?
Black has the extra pawn but has enough problems to solve with the king in the center.
Here Anand goes 20...Bg7!? (Wow) Computers at depth 20 or so were suggesting 20...Qb7 and criticizing this move. But Anand must have known the draw at level 42!!!
20... Bg7!? (Qb7) 21.Rd1 Qc5 22.Qa8+ Ke7 23.Qb7 Rd8 24.Bf3 (almost forced or best moves from move 20 and they quickly played it) And here goes Anand almost instantaneously with 24...Bxe5!? (draws again!) 25.Bxe5 Qxe5 26.Bc6 and the computer draw line is,
(26...Kf6 27.Bxd7 Qxb2 28.Qc7 Ra8 29.f4 Ra2 30.fxg5+ hxg5 31.Qd8+ Kg6 32.Qg8+ Kh6 33.Bc6 Qf2+ 34.Kh1 Re2 35.Qh8+ Kg6 36.Qg8+ Kh6 37.Qh8+ Kg6 38.Qg8+ Kh6 39.Qh8+ Kg6 40.Qg8+ Kh6 41.Qh8+ Kg6 Rybka Aquarium (0:01:28) +0.00|d18 equal chances)
It would be interesting to see 25.Bc6 (real novelty proposed by Mig. I know you can't call moves like 15.axb5 a novelty nowadays.) Deep computers didn't show anything adverse for black so I would assume Anand was safe or was prepared for that too.
They were precise, and good display of skills by both Anand and Nakamura!
25.Bc6 Kf6 26.Rxd7 Rxd7 27.Bxd7 Bxb2 (! if the resulting end game position is a draw) 28.Be8 Qe7 29.Qxb5 Bd4 30.Qxc4 (not forced though) 30...Bxf2 31.Bxf2 Qxe8 32.Qe4 Kg7 33.Bd4+ f6. This is one line with K+Q+B+2P vs K+Q+4P with pawns on the same side and I don't know if there is a win for white here.
A way to assess the reliability of engine evaluations in endgames might be: Do the variations make sense (in endgames, engines are less likely to come up with strong surprising moves that most humans won't even consider)? Does the stronger, supposedly winning side make any progress within the engine search depth?
Engines are also relatively weak or unreliable in other endgames: opposite-colored bishops, queen vs. rook and pawns with a fortress for the weaker side, ... .
PircAlert - Anand said he'd prepared this line (perhaps "to tablebases", but not sure if I understood the Spanish) - but then he'd forgotten something and got into trouble. I think he also said it's better not to know the position at all than to know only 99% of the theory.
mishanp, I would rather like to go knowing 99% of theory than knowing nothing relying on my skills to calculate everything OTB. ;) It is next to impossible specially when you are against an opponent who has the advantage of knowing like 90% of theory. But I understand Anand's concern. When you know 99% you tend to play from your memory rather than checking out all the lines OTB to ensure everything is ok as when you know 90 or less percent of theory.
But yeah when you assess positions at such deep levels using your memory and calculating power, you can't be as accurate as a computer, and Anand could well have missed some lines arising out of different sequence of moves. I can think of one position where Anand would have wanted Qb7 instead Qc6?? But other than that, to me everything else looked best or forced from black point of view. I think mostly white had the option to dictate the course of the game.
But even 17...Qb7 instead of 17...Qc6 would have made any difference since this particular game went 18.e5 Nd5 19.Nxd5 Qxd5. as the Queen is displace to d5 anyway. so wonder what he meant by he got himself into trouble. 20...Qb7 instead of 20...Bg7???
I wrote a report about Round 2 here - it clears up some cryptic comments about the Botvinnik Memorial in the official press release: http://www.whychess.org/node/2050
its interesting that Anand played Gelfand's line (9..Nbd7 something Anand never played before) in the Anti-Moscow following Kasim vs Gelfand and at the same time Gelfand in round 4 of the euro cup plays the Lasker variation which helped Anand at Sofia. Clearly they are already studying positions where the other one likes.
Thanks for the report! Nakamura has reasons to be disgusted about his play for not seeing a move like 25.Bc6. If you aspire to become a world champion in this day and age, you can't miss such moves. But I think he is a bit ambitious when he judges the resulting position within a few minutes after the game that it is winning for him. The move may not be something completely unanticipated by Anand. Had he played on in that position against Anand, he would have more disgusted with himself for not winning a possible K+Q+B+2P vs K+Q+4P?? May be Hikaru can show us how it is winning? ;-)
Naka's tweet about 25.Bc6 being 'completely winning' either says something about his ignorance or his arrogance. Surely he will have known shortly after the game that the game is not winning and Anand had seen the draw .. considering he played 24...Bxe5 quickly. Still eight hours after he has replied to a fan saying the same thing.
Replied where? According to the computer Bc6 is +/- which isn't winning but better.
It is ignorance rather.;-) The position may be completely winning for him against his chess partner who helps him out. I think soon he will come to understand Anand's skills when he studies his games.
Which computer? At what depth? And what is the line?
And does the computer show a winning plan here for my below line that black can get almost forcefully? 25.Bc6 Kf6 26.Rxd7 Rxd7 27.Bxd7 Bxb2 28.Be8 Qe7 29.Qxb5 Bd4 30.Qxc4 (not completly forced though) 30...Bxf2 31.Bxf2 Qxe8 32.Qe4 Kg7 33.Bd4+ f6.
He replied to one of his fans. Look into ChessVibes report for round 2. ChessVibes also give analysis that show Bc6 is not winning
"Of course" (or: as always) Nakamura replied via Twitter. Not his first strange, ignorant or arrogant Twitter comment ... . There was a rather analogous one after his drawn Olympiad game against Kramnik - the Russian chess scene (was it Shipov in particular?) wasn't amused: Nakamura was worse, though not quite losing in that game and suddenly claimed that he missed a win.
If Kasparov is now coaching Nakamura ... guess modesty, politeness and respect for fellow world top players aren't part of his lessons ,:( .
Maybe he just misjudged the position a bit and genuinely thought he had a win, in both cases. Then it would be optimism rather than ignorance. Self-belief is important for anyone striving to get to the top of anything, even if it is not always objective! Anyhoo, it hardly matters. Points on the board are all that really count! Interesting observation re Gelfand, Harish.
That's a warrior's response.
I read Nakamura said once he wasn't really interested in expert rated players with a computer who critiqued his play.
He said it was different if it was an Aronian or other superGM (my term) that was criticizing him.
I suppose he still feels that way.
True. Chessok game annotation with deep Rybka, or annotation with pure computer help for that matter, is one example of some wrong assessment of positions. But I don't just rely on computer moves alone. So don't you worry, about me or my chess skills. Nakamura will look into my lines if he gets to see them!
But why all this support for him from nowhere all of a sudden? Is Kasparov really behind the scenes??!! ;) ;)
All engines say very equal in Anand-Ivanchuk while Ivanchuk is pondering his next move after vishy's Nf1 but the commentators (icc - Sierwan and Benjamin) saying that Ivanchuk is nearly lost. Clearly Ivanchuk sees some problem as he has been pondering on this move for a long time now. Silly these engines.
After an interesting 22.e5 the computer has been saying Anand is clear minus but Anand may wiggle out. Ivanchuk has just played 24...Bg4.
Don't know what Anand missed, but he is worse according to engines.
Anand must have missed ...Bg4 since otherwise his queen guards e5 pawn. He probably missed that several moves ago when he played Ng3 allowing ...d5 and then ...d4. I suppose he can still hold the game.
more than likely. At any rate, I don't much care. Bc6 is clearly a better move though my amateurish eyes can't find a win after it.
29.Bd5 Rxd5!! draws I believe. So Ivanchuk should do 29.Qxa2 but then Kg1 will support knight and Queen will be free to prepare herself for perpetual.
29...Qe2 and now 30.Rd1 Bg1 31.Rxg1 brilliancy is not possible due to Kxg1.
Carlsen has resigned. May be he has not experienced time pressure too much in his life. Well there is a lot still left to learn for him.
Ho ho. The punchbag just punched back!!
Carlsen looked good, must have made an awful blunder later.
Interesting things can happen when one lower-rated is there, everyone feels they have to beat him...sometimes they go too far!
Anand is looking dead but he ain't a champ for nothing, might swing something yet.
The following has happened so far ...all today
the women's world champion (Hou Yifan), the world's number one (Carlsen), the world champion challenger all lost (Gelfand).
Can Vishy the world champ be an exception?
Not :-(
Vishy lost to Chucky... Maybe he got distracted after seeing Carlsen lose...
Well, at least two more world champions lost today: Ponomariov and Petrosian :)
Seems like losing is really in fashion this season. I'll have to give it a try one of these years. If all these world champs are doing it, the rest of us should follow their example.
Right! Geez, I feel a lot better now.
Hehe, Mig states that Anand wasn't unified World Champion during Bilbao 2008 in his recent tweet:
"Anand and Carlsen both lost in the same round of Bilbao 2008, too. But Carlsen wasn't #1 yet and the WCh title hadn't been unified"
Yes, but there's one winner for every loser - so winning is as fashionable as losing!
BTW, current world blitz champion Aronian did not lose, and former KO champ Kasimdzhanov scored a convincing and fairly spectacular win (against IM Maier, Elo 2352).
Mig's not going to create a new column for the Bilbao tourney until Naka wins a game.
Meanwhile, glad to see Ivanchuk in good form. Candidates will be interesting, b/c its clear that Carlsen won't be the runaway winner if he even decides to show up this time.
Harish (or anyone else who was listening), can you give a little detail on waht Seirawan et al were saying (I don't use ICC)?.. because on Chessvibes the annotations give the impression that Anand got nothing from the opening and went downhill from there. Seems quite a contrast to what you were reporting!
Interesting that Anand, who for such a long time was almost exclusively an e4 man, has had nothing much to show against two modern banes of e4, the Berlin and the Jaenisch.
I'll bet Hikaru Nakamura hates being called 'Naka.'
Sierwan basically said Ivanchuk is in big trouble after his ...Bxe3 move and Benjamin agreed with him. They then tried out several variations and concluded that White has a clear plan to improve the position and black has the only option of d5 which opens up Vishy's bishop on d3 and will lead to disaster. So their conclusion was Vishy is clearly better. As I said in my earlier comment I was using my Houdini x64 engine in parallel and it dint see much although but I never trust engines in their evaluation. And then as it happens Vishy just missed Black's ...Bg4 intermedzo move. Benjamin pointed out as to how it can be an illusion since until black's knight was on g6, there was no ...Bg4 possibility and that is why white had an oversight or rather missed this move. But the moment it was exchanged and black's rook appeared on ...g6, now all of a sudden ...Bg4 is obvious deflection of queen from control over the e5 pawn.
Earth to Simple Pole etc.!
World Champion Ponomariov?! You must be on planet Ilyumzhinov.
Ok, interesting, thanks!
Note to self: Do not attempt humor on Internet.
Indeed. Remember that most of your readers consider thinking a pointless exercise.
Uh...no, he won it fair and square over Ivanchuk (who had beaten Vishy in the SF)
Huh?!
You must be talking about Ilyumzhinov's funny dice rolling contest in 2000...but "World Champion"? The knockouts are not a satisfactory way to pick three of eight candidates to battle it out for the right to challenge the champion, but to put such a lofty title on a circus like that is silly
Give it a rest. This isn't an audition for Groundhog Day.
Your opinion...doesn't make it fact or true. Bottom line is that he won the title, dethroning Vishy. I'm sure many top players would disagree with your disrespect of that title.
Well said.
If Naka doesn't lose to Carlsen today, that will show me a lot; the last 2 times they have met (2010 London, 2011 Wijk aan Zee), Carlsen has had W after having lost his previous round and handled Naka relatively easily.
Before you embrace your Naka too deeply, you should consider the other side of it, pioneer: that Magnus, according to Yasser and greg Kaidanov on ICC, is more or less winging the openings these days instead of the excellent opening prep he demonstrated in Nanjing after working with GK. And because he is letting his prep slide, they surmise, so he's entering games w/o novelties as well.
He spent a chunk of time this game trying to figure out how to come out the opening, and didn't find it. The result: he made it relatively easy for Hikaru to reach equality. That was also evident timewise when watching the game proceed on ChessOK.
Just to buttress my observation about boosting your playing strength after or while seconding an elite GM, note the surprisingly good progress in the World Cup by Peter Heine Nielson.
Peter is a current second for Vishy Anand.
People, how impressed are you with this Anand's win? No obvious mistakes from Vallejo's part yet Anand shows win in a queenless and from a more or less equal position! I know the game is not over yet but it will get over soon.
Did Ivanchuk choke today with Rxf7?
Yes I did hear the comment on Carlen's opening preparation on icc and I agree. I dont see Carlsen's strength in the openings at all. He firmly believes he will outplay his opponent from equal positions but he has to realize that it is only possible against the low 2700 whom he beats consistently. He will feel even more miserable now since the person who is giving points to everybody in this tournament is the one against whom he lost. btw a very interesting game from Anand, the Karpov style... keeping all pieces on back ranks and only marching king to g4 and finally everything comes alive.
It will be nice if someone can translate bits of the post match conference of Anand Vallejo. Apparently a funny incident happened when someone in the audience started to shout something at the start when Anand started speaking and Anand had to pause for him. And Anand said "beuno eso" and that everyone was laughing !!
Not too impressed, Pirc. All the competitors easily outplayed Vallejo, and we would expect the world champion to do so too. Carlsen had a little accident.Vallejo did not exactly go for the throat in this game. How impressed are you with Anand's performance so far?
Chesshire, didn't you see difference between how others outplayed Vallejo and how he got outplayed move by move. I'm impressed with Anand's play yesterday too but let me tell you how I'm impressed today.
What an impressive game by World Champion today! It will even make the live rating freeze. From a queenless and from a more or less equal position, Anand pulls out a win when there was no obvious mistakes from Vallejo. It will be hard to pin point where Vallejo went wrong. And it was like Rybka aquarium was doing a 3rd grade math on counting down by 0.1 when it was evaluating the position. Do you guys see now why I say Anand is the greatest ever?!!!
Groan.
;-)
When will you be celebrating your 13th birthday? We'll all send ya a card with the world champ's mug on it. In your case, it better be the current champ by then.
:-)
Sad that Mig no longer finds the time to write.
I'd just like to inform the residents of Pluto and Neptune - who are the last uninformed beings within 3 light years- that Pirc is rather fond of the current world champ, Anand.
Your predicament:
You are in zeitnot - in a serious way - you don't have much more than a minute to make eleven moves - and time increments are not allowed.
The good news? You have a good position, and the potential to make it a winning position if you find the right move. Then you just have to follow it up properly until you reach time control.
The bad news: You're playing Levon Aronian, one of the cleverest defenders in the world, and he has plenty of time.
Ready? Set. Go!
You won the game but "I outplayed you". Great comfort.
In no other sport is the loser (or his followers) as arrogant as in chess.
As if outplaying the opponent was the goal in chess. Mating the king or having the opponent resign the game would be the goal.
The disrespect Paco gets for playing the Grand Prix is sickening. First, he "is too bad a player" to be there. Then he beats the world #1 "oh, he was outplayed".
Tell me how many players were outplayed by Carlsen in the last 5 years and managed to win. Can you name at least one other?
The chess community should man up, and accept the wild card choice of the organizers.
Bah, when one's opponent simply blunders a piece after having a winning position, nobody takes pride in winning a game or claims much credit for it. Not me, not Vallejo, not anyone. That is not disrespect.
Vallejo got the three points, that's obvious. It is also obvious that he is a great player.
It is a moot point whether getting mauled by the field is actually a good experience for the player toughening them up for harder competition) or a nasty psychological blow (as happened Short when he played top Grandmasters too early).
Oh, I am not saying Paco should take pride in the win.
But TIME is a factor in chess too. And if you consume virtually all of your time to gain a winnning position, then I think it is fair enough to say that the blunder resulted from bad overall play, if one considers time management an ingredient of the performance.
So positionally speaking, Carlsen may have "outplayed" Paco, but he did so by investing (too) much.
It's like a Boxer who wins 11 rounds by giving his all and then is knocked out in the 12th because he has no power left. You could argue as well that he "ouboxed" his opponent - but at what cost?
I simply think that all this talk about Paco shouldn't play at the GP etc. is just disrespectful. No matter how the game against Carlsen was won.
Pacos record against the GP field is
1-7-21 (wins, losses, draws).
Nakamuras record against the GP field is 1-5-18.
So Nakamrua doesn't belong there too?
It's time to accept the maths of chess: organizer = money = tournament = living for the chess players = right to invite wild cards as they choose.
Criticizing the selection of Pacos is pure disrespect for the people who put their money into chess that the lights don't go out completely.
If I was the sponsor, such behaviour by the chess community, especially by people like Mig, would be very alienating.
"And if you consume virtually all of your time to gain a winnning position, then I think it is fair enough to say that the blunder resulted from bad overall play"
Yes indeed, very true. And it is annoying to get draw offers then, because you might have found better replies with more time yourself! A kind of blackmail, IMO.
You are also quite right about the financial aspect etc. There is no question of his "right" to be there, for sure.
But Vallejo has been having a hard time on the board, the question for me would be is it good for him? If he is mentally strong and sees it as good training, well and good, but if it is a blow to his ego, not good! How many players have gone downhill after a crushing match or tournament? Praps the conferences will reveal if he is at least enjoying himself.
Unfortunatelly, you never know in advance who will have a bad time over the board who not.
I remember Naiditsch winning Dortmund and Gustaffson coming close, Smeets close to winning Linares (I think), etc.
Especially in Dortmund and Wijk aan Zee a lot of players (Van Wely, Stellwagen, Smeets, Naiditsch, Gustaffson, Maier, etc.) are simply there because of sponsors wild cards.
But the same is true at many other tournaments as well, just that usually a russian or so is selected from a broad field of good players.
Talking about Vallejo:
He was a constant at Linares, he knows how it is to be beaten by the best. His ego wont suffer too much, after all its a difference if you get outplayed by the #1 - #7 or by the #50 - #60.
I recall streaks of 5 or more losses by Shirov, Kamsky, Ivanchuk - all of which did suffer from a "blown ego".
I hope Paco will draw a few more games and maybe win another one.
The only thing I really didn't like was the unfair treatment Paco is receiving for his involvement in the GP - especially on the ICC and here by Mig.
Well, you're right, commonsense, and looking back at big tournaments historically, you can find some majors one by a (now) less-than-famous grandmaster.
People come prepared or step up for the home crowd. It happens all the time in many sports.
That is a different argument from the financial one, of course, but they're both respectable.
Vallejo is favorite among Spanish-speaking chess fans, of which there are many, so why not insert him into the equation if it will make for better theatre?
Two lower-rated hometown favorites would be pushing it in such a small field, but regardless of how he beat Carlsen, Vallejo has a full point already, and as far as I'm concerned, he's made a mark.
Well, he might well pull something off. All the players will try to beat him because they will want to keep up with the others, and they might well take too many risks or take him for granted in the process- and after all he is over 2700 and quite capable of beating anyone given a chance.
Well, let's see how he handles the heat today. Nakamura seems to think he can afford a little aggression before castling against him.
Maybe they should rename it "Slamming Paco (twice)" instead of "Grand Slam Masters Final".
Anand drew today as White against Aronian. Combined with the rest of his games, it again shows his utter and complete dominance over all chessplayers since Morphy.
Exaggerate much?
Kasparov-Anand 1995... enough said.
Nakamura beats Vallejo to move into second place at the break.
Boy, is he arrogant.
LOOOOOOOOOOOL!!!
That private match?? And duck afterwards fearing defeat?? enough said.
Want more? Kasparov-Kramnik 2000!
I think Nakamura was lucky to win today! I might be wrong but I thought Pons had him. I wouldn't be surprised if he said he is disgusted with his play.
Hmmm., looks like "getting" sarcasm is not your strong suite :-)
The greatest player on earth lets off Aronian with a warning playing White. This shows that the World Champion also has a heart...
Paco Vayechho (I love the way the Spaniards say it - nothing like how we hear it in California) was nothing if not adventurous today; it's just that he played with abandon only after realizing that he had misplaced his pieces against Nakamura's setup.
If you sack a piece for counterplay, you had better have a lot of it or a good attack to beat a GM a piece down - even you are yourself a GM.
It was a little painful for me to watch.
Naka said his goal was to hit 2800 this year, so we will see. He's got a shot at it with strong performances in Bilbao and at the super strong London Classic, which has quickly become a highlight of the chess calendar. I guess he will play in the Blitz in Moscow in Novemeber (?), but I don't know of any other "serious" events between now and the end of the year that will give him a shot at 2800. No Nanjing this year I know.
I thought that 2800 goal by some certain time was a rumor. Or did Nakamura say that?
Nakamura said so himself after winning Wijk aan Zee - "I hope to break 2800 by the end of this year":
http://www.tatasteelchess.com/history/recent/year/2011/report/13
Besides (currently) Bilbao and (December) London, he will also play the classical part of Tal Memorial. So it's still possible - but somehow I don't think he anticipated his Bazna and Dortmund results when he made the ambitious statement quoted above ... .
man, this site has gone down hill. so much for "daily". i guess there are enough news sites now written by strong players who aren't douches.
Tough on Chucky to be robbed at gunpoint and now to try to maintain his composure for the second leg. If he can cope we could witness his greatest achievement.
true but where else to go? Dennis Monokroussos does a great job.
Chessvibes ruined itself with a cruddy website.
that's a good question. it's tough to find the right balance between informative and entertaining... i'll have to check monokroussos out. thanks for the tip!
My heartfelt sorrow and well wishes to GM Ivanchuk and his wife.
There is not mention in the press about Rabajov's room being robbed in San Luis, in 2007 was it, (not sure of the date or tournament, please correct me if I am wrong).
He was so upset, he left with his father, feeling the need to withdraw.
I am not saying Latin America is worse than other places, not having traveled internationally in a long time, and then only in East Asia. Just noting the great disturbance in a sport where the mind needs the least amount of drain in other areas, for maximum focus.
Again, my heart goes out to GM Ivanchuk who, we recall, was very upset was it, two years ago, saying he would leave chess and the chess world said no.
We love you Vassily. dk
I know it's horrible. Mig violating our rights and all.
Dennis Monokroussos has a great chess blog. He posts something of interest 'most every day. Unlike Mig, he wields a heavy moderator's hand for readers' comments.
In terms of information, whychess.org has quickly become part of my daily chess diet (and by now I got used to the somewhat confusing site design which may have inspired Chessvibes). The only downside: the fact that Colin McGourty writes a lot for whychess means that mishanp has little time left for chessintranslation.com ,:) .
Of course there's also Chessbase which, in any case, offers quantity.
For discussions, this place may still be fine - but we have to do it ourselves without help or keywords from Mig. Maybe he could offer a new thread (headline) every now and then even if he doesn't have time or inspiration to write something himself? Otherwise we might end up discussing the London Classic in this World Cup thread which has grown to 700 comments ... .
"We love you"? Have you even met the man? Unfortunate incident but let#s keep it real!!
phx, is that supposed to make sense? who said anything about rights?
i guess it's my fault for continuing to come back hoping for something different.
Dear 'what', no pun intended, but what can I honestly say, except that I respect you, and understand you position.
This very second, my mother is dying, nurses at home, hospital beds, I am not kidding... Life is no joke.
Love is a very spiritual thing and yes, the chess world does love Vasily. I am not a bible person, but there love can be translated as charity. Or generosity of heart. I am someone who uses this term love, and it is a very individual matter. If I were to put the highest standard as to how I label or view relations, to me, a friend is the one that I think is overused. Not much different. Folks throw the term around. A friend, to me, is someone you can call in the middle of the night, and that listen rather than dismiss.
Forgive me if I offend anyone, and yes, there is great fondness for GM Ivanchuk, his vulnerability, his fragility, his strength, his nerves, his genius.
Again, but hope no one is offended. From where I stand this morning, life is a marvel. We all are borne, we all die, we all love, and sometimes hate, but we all get some type of chance....
Nurses on the way, let me run. I love, and for that, I have no apologies. Some folks can be counted on to laugh at me, others appreciate, and that is life.
Peace to everyone here. dk
I am not laughing at you, David, but such statements remind me of the false outpouring of public grief for Princess Diana. It is not possible to love someone you do not truly know. IMO such sentiments are a damaging trivialisation and a reflection of the media illusions clouding and poisoning modern society.
That said, I wish you luck.
All very well said, thank you. Having read most of the major classics on Illusion, Control, Power, and Depersonalization such as by read Wendell Berry, Chomsky, Canetti, Jacqes Ellul, Mumford, I can concur. All is fine here, take care Daily Dirt folks. dk
"Have the senses of the body their delights, while the soul is left devoid of pleasures?...Give me a man in love: he knows what I mean....But if I speak to a cold man, he just does not know what I am talking about..." Augustine, Tractate in Johannes 26, 4.
Classics on Illusion...have you tried the Mulapariyaya Sutta or Brahmajala Sutta?
Thank you. Nice to meet you Uff. Yes, all that. I spent two years reading the first six books of the Bhagavad-Gita. Sometimes it was all too much to read three lines without feeling like I needed to smoke three packs of cigarettes. And I do not smoke (lifetime runner). * I was almost a Fulbright to Japan, learned the Puja in Sanskrit, etc. * My guru lived with Maharishi in India for eight years, two in a room with no light, food through the slot in the door. * I told her that I was willing to pay any price for awakening, and the next day the lawyers started calling. Within three months, I lost everything. Leave the forty million and be out by five pm. Literally. * I went back to chess after all that... had not played since 1973. Chess is among the little that remains after the collapse. dk
Anyone know White's best continuation(s) in the Milner-Barry after Black declines the second pawn with 10 ... a6?
11. Qe2 or 11. Re1 are the main lines.
You weren't skeptical of text that was awakening you to the virtues of smoking?
Any idea how Sanskrit and gurus ended up being the path to chess? They seem to be virtually exact opposites...are they really?
Hi everyone, i'm just listening to the live feed from Bilbao and as you may know from tweets Leontxo once again hinted at Nakamura working with Kasparov.In the Carlsen-Anand game they -IM Santiago Gonzalez and Leontxo- think black is quit OK but praise Carlsen for playing on instead of seeking a draw with 24 Bb5. They definitely think white is in a bit of trouble. Will try to get something out of the press conference if I can.
Now they went on to take a look at Vallejo-Aronian and think white has an edge in view of his lead of development and space. It seems Aronian should have exchanged queens instead of losing time avoiding it, but they understand he's looking to win against the obvious target in his birthday. Now white may win the battle for the e5 case. Leontxo now criticizes a little Vallejo about not working on his time management troubles since by talent and abilities he's on par with the top.
Speaking of awakening. Can anybody enlighten me what to think of Ivanchuk's position? Does this torn structure make sense? Is the activity of the bishops really worth the messy pawn structure? I am a little worried after the opening disaster against Carlsen.
Ivanchuk's position is good. The two bishops, pressure on black squares, and slight lead in development compensate the structure. It's a well known type of Paulsen position. Black tries to plug the gaps left by the B squared bishop and later exploit the structure. Nakamura isn't lost, either.
They came back to Carlsen-Anand. Plan for Anand now is f4, Bf5 and if Nxf5, Kxf5 getting enough activity for a draw. In any case it seems the key of the position is the Ne3, defending the entry points in the c-file. They also said Vallejo is getting ready for action with his dev lead.
Finally they got to Ivanchuk-Nakamura and noted how the ukrainian is getting short of time. They key to the position is the black squared white bishop, putting pression on d6 and maybe later coming to b2 after c4. If Ivanchuk manages to unleash the beast he will be better, but will be in trouble if he doesn't. They also hint at a possible c4 c5 pawn sac for him.
Aronian's position is itching him a little since there are many active possibilities for white, hence he's losing some time.
LOL! Yes Re1/Qe2 are the 'approved' moves, and I have been playing the MB for twenty years with good results, BUT you must understand that White has an inferior position after 10,,, a6. You just have to count on being able to whip up an attack out of almost nothing:)
Chessbase Magazine had an opening article a couple of issues ago, but it was literally no help. It concluded that Black ha insufficient comp for the pawn in that line.
Having said all that, it does lead to an interesting game, and I still enjoy playing it.
Oops. Obviously meant White has insufficient comp for the pawn.
They're working through some variations (mostly the computer suggestion 29 b4) and think Anand must find something urgently as otherwise he's going to be in an inferior position where white's minor pieces won't be worse than their black counterparts.
Now on Ivanchuk's 13 Rf3 they say from there it creates threats on the Kside and may also go to d3.
I take the chance now since they're talking about unrelated things, please people forgive my english :)
I went back and double checked this. The article is in CBM 140 and is pretty thorough. Written by Moisenko, and covers both accepting and declining the gambit. After 10 ,,, a6 he gives four moves: Qe2/Re1/Qf3/Kh1.
His overall analysis seems to be somewhat pessamistic towards the White side, but does say that white has a lead in development and the Black king remains in the center for the pawn, and that a "deep knowledge and sharp tactical eye" are necessary to play either side.
I will shut up now :)
LG liked 12 Qc3 instead of Qg5 well met by Aronian with Ng6 which should minimize the white advantage. Now if 13 Bxf6 h6 (maybe also Bf4 but SG prefers h6) and black may even get the better position since he controls e5 and has the unopposed black squared bishop. They can't see an attack for white now and think 12 Qg5 was quite dubious.
Ivanchuk's 14 Rg3 adds to the activation of the a3 on the long diagonal stating that if white could magically remove his c3 pawn he would be better.
After Carlsen's b4, Anad missed a chance to play ...b5!
All of the life was sucked out of the game after that. The result was pre-ordained, in the sense that Anand was happy with a draw as Black, and Carlsen was happy to draw Anand.
Vallejo chose a canny opening, which gave Aronian the choice of easy equality--in a Queenless, sterile Middlegame, or making a clearly inferior move (5...Bd7)
to keep some play in the position. Unfortunately, all of the play was Vallejo's, and Aronian was only too glad to grasp equality at the moment when he could have achieved a slight edge.
Ivanchuk played amazingly in a mutual time scramble with Nakamura. White's attack was probably not quite correct, but Black made more inaccuracies.
So far, a huge event for Chukky: He's +4 =1 -1 for 13 points.
Then there is a 4 way logjam at 7 points.
Assuming that he doesn't choke against Vallejo, he has good chances to pull this one in
Mig tweeted:
"After a ridiculous flurry of 10 moves in 10 seconds"
"Just physically making the moves will be a challenge now. Horrible way to conclude such a fascinating game"
Mig, there is a ten seconds increment starting from move one (at least according to Chessbase).
With that every player has had a loss in the tournament. If Ivanchuk wins tomorrow (which he might as well playing Vallejo) he is assured of maintaining a 6 pt lead going into the last 3 rounds. And then he would only need one draw in his last 3 games (against anand, carlsen or aronian) to secure the grand slam victory. Having said that tomorrow's Ivanchuk's game against Vallejo might well be the deciding day for the tourney.
Unfortunately, according to the Official Bilbao Tournament website:
"The rate of play will be 90 minutes for the first 40 moves, 60 minutes to finish the game, with 10 extra seconds per move from move number 41."
It is almost extraordinary to see Nakamura in this degree of Zeitnot
This confirms Mig's understanding.
Frankly, there should be Time Bonus from move 1, but the organizers preferred the "excitement "of this type of time scramble.
Fortunately, the game reached its logical conclusion, and with a beautiful flourish at the end, to boot.
But these Time Controls are a bit of a travesty for a tournament which purports to be the most prestigious of the year.
The interesting thing is that at this stage, Anand and Aronian may not be too concerned with vying for 1st Place, and so they might not press too hard when they play their 2nd leg against Ivanchuk. Carlsen will play maximally, in the hopes of stealing the tournament from Ivanchuk. Then again, maybe Anand and Aronian will be motivated for revemge.
Thanks, Dondo - very helpful. I'll have to track down that issue.
I did suspect it's not "good" for White, but I get to have all the fun. I'm looking for the best ways to keep up pressure and keep play alive, and of course to be better prepared than my opponent - you've found the resource for me.
If the rumors about Nakamuka and Kasparov working together are indeed true, results like today should explain why things are under wraps thus far. If Naka gets good results, Kasparov wouldn't mind the news going public. If not, he'll just accept that his bank of opening secrets aren't really secrets anymore and are ineffective in this day and age. Kudos for developing such a potent arsenal and staying so much ahead of the rest during his time, but I must say Kasparov did time his retirement well - just as access to information was getting more democratized.
It's interesting, even Chessbase is not consistent in their statements:
http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=7583
"Time control: 90 minutes/40 moves + 30 minutes + 10 seconds/move starting with the first move."
http://chessbase.com/newsdetail.asp?newsid=7585
"Time control: 90 minutes/40 moves + 60 minutes + 10 seconds/move starting with the first move."
Frankly, it's hard to believe both got into such time trouble without having any kind of increment...
Always nice to know a little more about a great person like Ivanchuk such as in http://www.whychess.org/node/2177
The tournament homepage, quoted by DOug, must be right!!?
Incidentally, this is (close to) what Danailov wants everywhere:
http://www.chessintranslation.com/2011/02/danailov-chess-should-either-change-or-die/
Q How, in your opinion, should chess change so as not to die?
Danailov: [Sofia and football/Bilbao rules everywhere] "And finally, we need to reduce the time control. A game should last no longer than four hours. The 30 seconds a move increment (and any increment in general!) should be abandoned. That’s essentially deprived fans of the enthralling spectacle of time trouble."
Perfect on planet Danailov would be 30 minutes without increments to finish the game. And he wants to become FIDE president ... IMO even Ilyumzhinov is a lesser evil.
Funny Danailov's so in favor of fast time controls, as his protege Topalov isn't as strong at speed as his competitors...
Thanks for the explanation. I see and start to believe.
Great game from Ivanchuk. The blacks all huddled up in one corner around their king, but they couldn't protect him. Wild attack.
The Chessbase report is quite amusing:
"the tire marks he left on Nakamura, after he ran over the American's Sicilian,"
"Then I got ready to blow his king to kingdom come" under the picture at the bottom.. lol
Yes, chessbase' description is appropriate. The game looked that brutal. Maybe they could have made it clearer how much of the fun was owed to the time scramble. The most impressive feat is that Ivanchuk made Bullet Nakamura whine about the time controls.
Did Anand just mess up and lose a pawn, or is it all a cunning plan to utilise the Kside majority while retaining Black's Qside? (Option 1 I think.)
Ivanchuk clearly wants a win. I suspect Carlsen is better, but it's tricky stuff. However those hanging pieces and that weakened Kside are minus factors for white.
No it was a sacrifice as Bilbao commentators tweeted "Anands idea of sacrificing a pawn was interesting, but good defense from nakamura"
Thanks for info. Anand is having some difficulty imposing himself on this tournament. The Berlin seems to be being used against him a lot, maybe his opponents feel that it is the best way to stop him displaying his strengths (well, it is also simply a popular opening now).
Not just that, it is also something Anand himself uses. So if he sees that is a good defense against e4, then its not a bad idea to emulate him. A nice video interview by Anand on icc facebook page http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xaNMU2aNQoA on his game against Carlsen reveals some nice details on how these players approach an endgame. Anand mentioned that he recollected Kasparov vs Kramnik Tilburg where some precise moves were necessary and he pretty much nailed that to get the draw with Carlsen.
Regarding imposing himself on the tournament, he has always tried to get something out of the opening and then just play the position that comes. If its a draw, its a draw. Today he did have a nice idea of an interesting pawn sacrifice. But Nakamura just defended well.
ICC commentators say Ivanchuk is completely lost in the endgame after the time control. White will win black's c pawn, play Ra6 to f6 at some point and just win and trade f7 or h7 and then just win the game from there.
Thank you Vallejo for picking up another win.
Ivanchuk: 4 wins
Vallejo: 2 wins
The rest: 1 win
In distant alleys I hear the whisper of critics "outplayed" "lucky" "undeserved" etc.
Vallejo rulez!
I will be interested to know at what point Ivanchuk lost the game.
Perhaps it is already lost by move 21?
White's queen pawn is just too strong, tying down both black's rook.
Just like the endgame of Anand-Vallejo few days ago.
There is no obvious mistake however the weaker side gradually get squeezed.
Vallejo finally shows that he is after all a super GM.
Maybe the decision to give up the h6 pawn for White's c3 was wrong. It's understandable that he wanted to activate his queen, but she ends up shuttling forth and back on the long diagonal and never finds a good square.
Anand might lose this one against Ivanchuk.
Where are all the Nakamura fans gone? Before, they used to shout the house down every time he looked at a chessboard. Now, he really is doing pretty well against top opposition and not a peep!
I can't speak for all Naka fans, but the main reason many of them were "shouting the house" was because so many haters were regularly spewing out idiotic comments about his ability and worthiness against top players. Now that many of them have been silenced after his win in Wijk aan Zee, the atmosphere has become more civil.
He still has an outside chance of winning Bilbao, BTW -- he has Vallejo with B and Magnus with W...of course, he could lose both those games as well.
Naka?
Would that be Hikaru Nakamura?
Does Naka rhyme with cracka? Or does it sound like the plastic snapping teeth?
Does Hikaru refer to himself as Naka?
Should we refer to you as Pion?
(not sure if that would be pronounced Pie on or Pee on)
I once thunk that Mr. Nakamura was a flash-in-the-pan for elite play, but he's shown something this tournament. Cemented his place in the hierarchy, I could say, and good on him!
Also positive is the notion that either the bad sportsmanship of the past has either been cast off with success, or we're just not seeing recent evidence of it from his quarter. I like to believe the former, since we're stuck with him now! He's apparently joined the Gentleman's Club of World Class Chess Players.
Many of us remember when R.J. Fischer left the jeans and plaid shirt for suit and tie.
Nakamura doesn't need to go that far, because common courtesy is enough for most folks.
Play on...
"Nakamura has proved that he belongs to the elite." No need to make this kind of statement now as he is already one of the current elite players. There were many in the past such as Nigel Short,Gata Kamasky, Michael Adams, Alexi Shirov, Peter Leko etc. who belonged to elite at certain point in time but failed to remain there for longer.Time will tell where he belongs to the absolute elite or one among the next bunch of elites. Please wait and watch.
Haha, pion means "pawn" in Dutch! We would have to ask GM Hikaru Nakamura how he prefers to be called himself in short - maybe "Naka" is at least better than the silly "H-bomb" which the London organizers still use. To me, Naka seems no more or less odd or impolite than Pono, Moro or Nepo (Leko doesn't have such problems at all ,:) ). BTW does anyone know if the current leader in Bilbao actually likes to be called Chucky??
Thomas, while we respect your impressive English skills, you have a tendency to overutilise quotation marks. Here, we note with amusement that your LACK of the latter gives your sentence a meaning quite different to your oft-stated views:
"To me, Naka seems no more or less odd or impolite than Pono, Moro or Nepo (Leko doesn't have such problems at all"
"Michael Adams, Alexi Shirov, Peter Leko etc. who belonged to elite at certain point in time but failed to remain there for longer."
Huh? Adams was top10 or close from 7/1998-4/2007, Leko from 1/2000-11/2009, Shirov from 1/1992-1/2004 - apparently ten years isn't enough? A nice source to quickly check such facts is the German site http://www.schachchronik.de/ratings/spieler.php .
As to Nakamura, at least our blogmaster - after many months - brought up the good ol' all-caps NAKAMUUUUURA! again. And if Hikaru wins in the end, Mig might even blog rather than just tweet about Bilbao?!
Nothing at all 'wrong' with Nakamura's win against Aronian, but it was the first "regular" win against an established elite player in three elite events. Beating Nisipeanu, Georg Meier and Vallejo doesn't count as much, and his second Dortmund game against Kramnik was played under very special circumstances. What does "elite" mean? If it means top5 or more, Nakamura still has something left to prove - at least in terms of consistency.
As to his manners, his Twitter account still has room for improvement: claiming he was completely winning against Anand, blaming his loss against Ivanchuk on the time control - when the opponent had the same time control, the same time trouble and also played some second- or third-best moves. For a winner, it's relatively easy to show good sportsmanship - but that ain't enough ... .
Yeah, I noticed myself as soon as my post appeared ,:) - in the given case, "writing Naka ..." would have done the job without quotation marks in the original. But your reply is also an example of something I don't like: quoting something out of context. No big deal here, but relevant and rather unfair to the person (often a GM) quoted at other occasions.
BTW, who are you to refer to yourself in the third person? Or did you discuss your post with the entire faculty on a Sunday morning (European time)??
We apologize, but our royal connections are not something we can discuss on an open board.
We refer you to the columns of Mr Winter for further examples of this practise.
Looking forward to some Short-Kasparov action later, predict an easy win for Kasparov but lively games! Short will likely try some of the more offbeat stuff in his repertoire. Kasparov might be more prone to simple blunders or time trouble, given his rustiness. Still completely fascinated by Kasparov's (chessic) appearances, as I suspect are many others!
"Short will likely try some of the more offbeat stuff in his repertoire."
Hah!
Seems like half of Nigel repertoire is offbeat, cc!
I don't base my sense of Hikaru's place in world chess by virtue of wins alone. Nor do you, I didn't think.
Holding elite players to draws ain't easy, either. Many people appear to be incapable of doing it. ;)
As to shortening names, some are more natural than others. I see that lots of white-bread American folk have trouble with them longer ruskie names - or any long name for that matter.
Even Russians have trouble with Ian Nepomniachtchi - so why not shorten it.
Nakamura.
Is that so hard to pronounce or long to utter?
Does it make one an 'insider' to say the man's last name without the last four letters?
For soytn, it doesn't have the mellifluous tone of Pono or Moro, or Nepo.
Ahh, Nepo. Why doesn't he just make that permanent? ;)
Ha ha, can't be denied. But it is not always, or at any rate was not always, true. Short helped MAKE theory in some lines, e.g. English Attack and Short Variation v the Caro-Kann. Also he is pretty well up and regarded as an expert on some other "main"lines; QGD, French for example, and has used these and other solid mainlines regularly in his career. His offbeat stuff works pretty well against many opponents, though he does get punished now and again, especially by 2700 plus players, when he uses some not too reliable line.
Kasparov just lost to the Bc4 King's Gambit- old piece of gossip - Short was planning to use it v Kasparov in the WC match if the latter used 1...e5. Some bombs take years to explode. Lively match so far.
True. I am aware that Nigel has a huge book collection, and they're not there for looks.
I'm not too surprised about today's result contrary to what you said earlier. But it's cool that he pulled if off with something hidden away for years.
That should tick off Garry, and send him off to the research dept.!
Yep, a draw against an elite player is an achievement - but it doesn't necessarily mean you're an elite player yourself because somewhat weaker guys also manage it at least sometimes even with black, e.g. Short and Caruana (Corus 2010) or Wang Hao (Tata 2011). And while Leko is/was clearly an elite player, Nakamura and his fans probably don't consider him a role model [simplifying a bit for the sake of argument, I am not a Leko hater].
On shortening names, on this and other blogs it's a matter of writing rather than speaking/pronouncing. Let's forget about Nepomniachtchi (BTW I read that he doesn't like "Nepo" and suggests that we should call him Ian if we have trouble with his full last name). In the other cases, it comes down to whether it's wrong to skip four letters (mura) but OK to skip six (mariov or zevich).
Another complicated case is Vachier-Lagrave ... . It would be wrong to call him Vache (cow in French, though it can also mean luck in colloquial French), I often write VL but wouldn't pronounce it ... .
Vash e ay Lagrav or Vash e err Lagrav - either way it rolls off the tongue.
I must (have to) agree with Ian.
Nakak ak ak ak ak ak is what I hear.
Like that?!
As for Hikaru's playing... I'm not just talking about the draws in this tornament (as the New Yorkers say), but everything since Wijk aan Zee. Sure it's a bit inconsistent, but few other people can make a claim for staying power at that level.
Could Max Vachier-Lagrave have done the same to date given the chance since Tata Steel? Morozevich since the Russian Championship? Wang Hao since Tata Steel?
Arguable perhaps. You have the stats.
Hi Chess Friends,
visit http://chessthinkingsystems.blogspot.com/ for a live discussion on different styles of World Chess Champions.
Again, I meant writing rather than speaking. Chess fans should be used to Russian/Soviet names - likewise, fans of long-distance running must be used to African names, but do say or write Geb when they mean Gebrselassie ... .
As to Hikaru: As I wrote before, it all depends on what is considered elite. Nakamura himself said that he wants to cross 2800 by the end of this year and wants to play a role in the next WCh cycle. Presumably he "planned" to qualify by rating, now he depends on Sinquefield's money and the unpredictable outcome of the bidding procedure. These are very high standards, his own standards ... .
"Given the chance" is rather non-trivial: This year he got as many or more invitations than anyone else. In a way, he was treated as a top5 player while he is still "just" one of maybe 15 top10 players. What will happen next year? He shouldn't be re-invited to Dortmund, new organizers' standards are that the two bottom finishers (this time, Meier and Nakamura) will be replaced by someone else.
Looks like my crystal ball needs dusting. But, if he hadn't blundered that exchange, he might have kept going gangbusters...good match, eh?
And Kasparov using 1...e5, and no 1. e4...twas intriguing to watch.
In Aronian-Anand, the eval after move 21...Re8 is above +2.00 at depth 17 if white plays 22.Rd7. But I guess Anand knows what he is doing and might simplify into a Q vs R+N ending and try and hold. If he could, it would be a touch of a genius again! ;-)
As usual Anand seems to be getting bashed by Aronian.After his two rapid victories over Aronian in Botvinik memorial, I thought Anand might have recovered from this but not to be.
There were a few earlier games against Aronian where Anand didn't know what he was doing ...
Anand resigned! Can't believe or can't understand. looks like after 25.Rxe6 Qxf5 hxg5 hxg5 rd7 and the g-pawn will soon decide. if no g5 pawn, it would have made a lot of difference I think!
The way Anand collapsed against Aronian is unbelievable.From a seemingly equal position in move 20 Anand resigned at move 25.. Is it Aronian effect on Anand or is Anandlosing his calculating abilities? This is a pathetic tournament for Anand with two defeats and his only win coming against lower rated Vallejo.When will we see real Anand again apart from WC matches? Anand please retire or atleast win one tournament.
Korchnoi-Tal. (For a time) Gulko-Kasparov. Carlsen-Ivanchuk. Aronian-Anand. Feel free to expand list
: )
To some extent may be. But it was uncharacteristic of Anand to play too quickly in a critical position and blundered with a move like 24.Qf5. A few moves before also he played fast. Since the tournament is more or less over for him with this random-element-favorite-player-promotion football scoring system, may be he was not motivated to defend the position to a draw.
When anti-Anand systems are in place, Anand should choose to participate only in normal scoring system in the future.
Motivation factor likely. He is sharp in calculations. No one ever can beat him in that!
You are trying to hard, chesshire cat, to put Anand down. Please don't bring the old folks, they are weak compared to todays players. But remember, the recent beating Aronian had from Anand!
Anti-Anand systems indeed. You grow worse by the day.
"This year he got as many or more invitations than anyone else. In a way, he was treated as a top5 player while he is still "just" one of maybe 15 top10 players. What will happen next year? He shouldn't be re-invited to Dortmund"
How many other "top 5" players have won a supertournament this year? Please. There is no invitation Naka received this year that he hasn't earned.
Pirc, I have never met you, but I already know your profession. You are a press officer for Wall Street. The "old folks" were rather strong, you will find. And that was in any case irrelevant to the point I was making.
Sonas or someone wrote an article in chessbase with statistical data that the short draws or agreed upon draws are drastically down compared to old days. But yet a dumb scoring system like a 3 point for win is now introduced. And what is the justification?
Nakamura lost on time in move 40 in winning position ??
Who knows, Vallejo might win the tournament now!!!! as the it shows 1-0 for Vallejo-Nakamura. Great!!
What's it got to do with Anand?? And why does it affect him more or less than anyone else? He had a bad tournament, it happens, no need to make excuses. Surely that Vallejo 1-0 is some mistake, site is down or something.
Nope, apparently Nakamura did flag on move 40 - see comment by "editors" at Chessbomb: "Time loss: confirmation by Chessdom journalist on site".
The bullet king with such time problems?? Suppose he IS getting old : )
True to some extent, but ... how many invitations did Karjakin get after winning Corus A in 2009? How many invitations did Mamedyarov get after finishing shared first in Tal Memorial last year?
Granted, sole first is more impressive than shared first - and Nakamura's 9/13 was better than Karjakin's 8/13. But in both cases, the answer to my question is ... zero.
BTW, "He shouldn't be re-invited to Dortmund" wasn't my opinion, but a reference to organizers' standards or rules.
I guess Nakamura simply thought that he already made the time control - this happens to amateurs, but shouldn't happen to professionals.
Of course it has to do with Anand. Because he is the world champion and the top player. Who else can be the most affected other than Anand?
Chess is a game of skill. Winning a tournament is a sort of attestment of this skill for so long, I mean, assuming no game fixing was involved in tournaments. Now clearly a chance factor is introduced by means of this 3-1-0 system.
World candidate tournament is another example of chance. Please do this to test my theory. Invite some people for a pure game of skill where you are an expert. No one will come to play with you. Ask those same people for a game of skill and chance. They will immediately agree. Why? We're not here for fun but we're here to decide who is better. What should matter - skill or majority opinion?
So it is becoming like - Dilute the system, Dilute the throne!
DId Corus A in 2009 have the world's top 4 rated players in it? I don't think so. Neither Kramnik nor Anand were there.
Now, Mamedyarov, I totally agree with...he should have gotten more respect after winning the Tal (albeit shared first)...although neither Carlsen nor Anand were there.
But neither has the marketablility of Naka, and neither won their tournament ahead of the reigning world champion.
I don't want to say much, but Vallejo has 3 wins and 1 point more than Anand and just 1 point less than Nakamura and Aronian, who each have two wins.
Not bad for a player who "didn't belong there".
But maybe Anand didn't belong there too.
Thank you Vallejo, for showing your critics by beating their favourites (Carlsen, Nakamura, Ivanchuk).
>>> But yet a dumb scoring system like a 3 point for win is now introduced. And what is the justification?" <<<
If a win is worth more than two draws is simply a matter of taste.
If a win is that much harder to achieve in chess than a draw is a matter of taste as well.
If a win is that much more exciting as a draw is - right - a matter of taste.
There are good arguments for the 3-1-0 and there are good arguments for the "traditional" scoring system. And there are good arguments against both systems.
In the end it is a matter of how you weigh each argument and what your personal preference is.
If I pay $$$$$$ for some chess players to move pieces on a board, then I choose the scoring system I like. Whether that is 3-1-0 or 5-2-0 or 2-1-0 doesn't matter.
If they want my bucks they play my system.
Many chess players have made a living by drawing. I don't blame organizers who help players make a living by winning.
If there is a guy who has +0 -0 =5 and another guy is +2 -3 =0 then I thank the latter one for the spectacle he put on and place him in front of the dull =5 guy.
That iy MY personal opinion. You are entitled to yours.
But you are right, the 3-1-0 system is full of chance. The chance to climb the rankings by actually beating someone.
Other than that, it requites MORE skills to climb the rankings with the 3-1-0 system than with the "traditional" system.
As for mathematical chance, there is not more and not less in either system. Because the game is still played over the board in both cases.
There's not much that's happened to amateurs that hasn't happened to professionals.
Inb4 "He didn't really beat Carlsen and Nakamura."
We should give thought to the fact that there is a competition, a game, for which there should have to be devised a scoring system that encourages players to win.
@PircAlert: I somehow think Anand himself is way too classy to make ridiculous excuses when a tournament doesn't go his way. "Anti-Anand systems", LOL.
Hi Leo, sure, Anand wouldn't make such excuses after the event. And me neither! ;) I complained about the 3-1-0 before the event. I complained about the double round robin world candidate before the event. So what you see now as an excuse is a continuation of my existing complaint!
3-1-0,
It is organizer's choice and all those are fine. But I only wish we have a different rating system for a 3-1-0 scoring. Like we don't include the rapid ratings into the regular rating.
That's just fine, PircAlert; I can't say I'm whole-heartedly in favour of the "football" scoring system either. I just don't see why Anand in particular should have any problems with it, especially as "no one could ever beat him in [calculations]", as you put it.
Also, the term "anti-Anand system" seems to imply some kind of plot by organizers to counteract the reigning World Champion, and I can't imagine how that would make any sense.
But there I go again, all serious, trying to assign meaning to things people say. Never mind. Anand rules! :)
I didn't (mean to) say that Karjakin's win in Corus 2009 was "exactly the same" as Nakamura winning in 2011 - just that it should have been worth more than zero invitations. The tournament was by no means weak: it had five top 10 players (Ivanchuk, Carlsen, Morozevich, Radjabov, Movsesian) plus Aronian who was #11 at the time. Ivanchuk and Morozevich were out of form (5.5/13) but not as much as Grischuk (4.5/13) and Shirov (4/13) this year - which partly explains Nakamura's monster score. Movsesian later turned out to be a tourist in the top10, but did finish shared second. In retrospect, Corus 2009 may have been the first sign that Karjakin (then world #27 and just #11 in the Corus field) has potential for more, which he proved in the meantime.
Marketability ... sure. Though in terms of playing style, Mamedyarov is no less attractive than Nakamura - and IMO it's time to forget about his Aeroflot cheating accusations, an incident rather than something systematic as in Topalov's case. Nakamura is "more marketable" because he is American, maybe also because he is Asian American, and arguably due to his provocative presence on the Internet. Fair enough, but IMHO a bit unfair to "Soviet" players.
Correction:
Nakamura was not winning. A somewhat better position, but not actually winning.
Anand's best legacy to the Chess world would be: Beat Gelfand in the World Championship next year, get a rating of 2813 or above, & retire. When was the last time a reigning world champion retired? This will help FIDE change the rule no direct seeding to world champions in World Champion match.
Even though I am a Naka fan, I am glad for Vallejo. There is no reason a super-GM should be disrespected the way Paco was before this event started. Beating Carlsen, Ivanchuk, and Naka is nothing to sneeze at. Period.
No, his best legacy would be to beat Gelfand, then beat Carlsen in the next cycle...then he'd probably move ahead of Karpov in the GOAT discussion (but still behind Kasparov).
Well put!
The half point for a draw method is relatively a new idea in the long history of chess. At one time (late 19thC IIRC) you were just asked to replay the game, the draw was worth nothing.
Drawmeisters were in for a very long and tough tournament in that era!
One should NEVER forget the Aeroflot cheating accusations until Mamedyarov apologizes.
Is there video of this tourney anywhere? Does anyone know how Hikaru handled that time control loss? Had I been there, I think I would have stood clear. Very unusual for him.
At any rate for god sakes you could get an upset stomach trying to follow this tournament. You could get much worse if yer a betting man.
Did the authorities plant liquor in the hotel rooms?
Oh, and I think we've all seen the ending of this movie before if it stays true to form:
Magnus comes back from the center of the pack in a late sprint for the finish, and either ties for first or takes it outright on tiebreaks...
Videos are here: http://www.bilbaomastersfinal.com/en/final-de-maestros/videos/
I was watching the live feed yesterday and they were as surprised as everyone, although they only kept saying "Paco won!?" for a long time as LG was interviewing Carlsen (btw he couldn't believe it neither) Nakamura's face was a poem but what can one do? Those are the rules, it's a stupid and unfortunate incident, maybe even worse than dropping a piece or a checkmate in a better position because of zeitnot. Btw, Vallejo was clearly better before, it seems, and only during his own zeitnot did he got the worse position, not lost in any case. I hope Nakamura recovers well for today's game; maybe the whole tournament will make people and Vallejo himself take him more seriously and try an assault at the top. I don't know for sure if he belongs there, but he's certainly better than his current rating (WC U20 and so on)
Also, for the spanish listeners and the curious, i took the link from the official site. Open this
http://ams01.egihosting.com/11831?MSWMExt=.asf
in VLC or whatever other player with streaming capabilities and you can have the live video without java "interferencies"
PS what two games from Carlsen and Aronian!
1975.
What's missing from the discussion here (but is mentioned at Chessvibes): Nakamura had asked the arbiter if he has made the time control, (according to Nakamura) the arbiter nodded. Hikaru then got up to get himself an orange juice, returned to the board to find out that he had flagged in the meantime.
But the arbiter doesn't even have the right to tell the players, and a player doesn't really have the right to ask such a question.
Wouldn't it be more fun if Anand retires before the match against Gelfand? Then Gelfand would become World Champion by winning three minimatches against players not in the current top ten (#12, #15 and #18 on the live rating list). Now that would have to be some kind of record in itself.
NAAAAAAAKAMUUUUUURRRAAAAAAAA!!!!
To qualify to play Anand, Gelfand (#15) beat Grischuk, Kamsky, Mamedyarov, Ponomariov, Karjakin, Jakovenko, Maxime Vachier-Lagrave and Judit Polgar... or rather: or since you like numbers... #5, #8, #9, #10, #14,#27, #29, #49 (Judit!). And of course the ratings are irrelevant.
“The more I practice, the luckier I get.”
So much for the rabbit feet.
P.S. Luck is, if the opponents lose their head WITHOUT time trouble. For everything else, we don't need rabbit feet. Not even Vallejo.
For all the rabbits that like Topalov, Leontxo just said that yesterday he learnt from Tata organizers that he will play in Wijk aan Zee next year. Not sure if it's already a known fact, but just in case...
Thanks to both Alez and Thomas for the inside stuff. The Anand retirement dream crap is just that.
Well, the World Cup was one of the qualification events for the Candidates, if that is counted one could just as well count the four Grand Prix tournaments he played when he finished below the top ten there. But I don't see any reason to take two game blitz feasts seriously, it would be fun with a World Champion that is ranked around #20, maybe people would finally stop thinking that World Champion by default must equal best player in the world.
I won't disagree, but still find it odd that Topalov and Mamedyarov are treated differently.
In Topalov's case, cheating accusations were a campaign by his manager, he/they benefitted from that campaign, they keep repeating them whenever given the chance. And all this is accepted or at least tolerated, and didn't prevent him from getting tournament invitations.
Mamedyarov's accusations were made in the heat of the moment, and he punished himself by dropping out of the event. Sure, it doesn't deserve a beauty prize, but it was an incident - nothing less and nothing more.
I'm with you on that last one re: Boris Gelfand. That's a gauntlet.
Leontxco Garcia sure looks a lot like Uncle Fester. Sorry, just had to get that out of my system. Carry on.
Sorry, *Leontxo. And no offence intended, of course.
LOL. You're killing me! ohmygod.
I should add that you made it funnier by how you wrote that crazy observation, which some of us desperately tried to bury somewhere when we first laid eyes on him.
"Carry on." ?!
I'm still laughing.
I guess the difference for me is that i'm consistent. My two least favorite players are Topalov and Mamedyarov both for the same reason. And if I *EVER* run an invite tournament... I would never invite these two characters even if they *paid* me to play.
OK, good for you that you are consistent (no pun intended!). But many organizers, and many chess fans are less consistent.
Even you - or others thinking the same way - might run into a problem: What if a sponsor (I guess you don't have the money yourself?) says "I will provide the money it takes IF Topalov is participating"? Not very likely at present, but quite so a year ago ... . I believe that you would still be consistent, but others in your place might not be!?
Now it is clear that the robbing incident also robbed Ivanchuck's tournament victory. Compared to the other players he simply had too little time to adjust to the time difference and that took it's toll in the end.
Don't you think that this "adjustment" to the time difference would be especially hard in the early stages of the Bilbao games?
However, he started Bilbao with a win against Nakamura.
His loss against Vallejo was probably due to over-optimistic play, at least that's what GM Romain Edouard wrote in his analysis of the game. Probably in hope of another Vallejo meltdown.
His loss to Carlsen was expected, Carlsen has a long history of beating Ivanchuk virtually every time they play and that has nothing to do with problems to adjust to time difference.
His losses came with the black pieces, which is nothing stunning either.
We shall not forget that after the traditional scoring, Carlsen had won the tournament outright.
And we shall not forget that Carlsens stupid play against Vallejo, where he consumed all his time to setup his blunder that robbed him a full point (or three in the 310 scoring).
So YES, Ivanchuk was robbed. But not of the tournament victory. He was robbed in Sao Paulo.
No, adrenaline helped Chucky in the first Bilbao game and the jet lag started to tell in the remaining games. The other players had several days advantage in adjusting to the time difference. Also, Carlsen as the youngest, has in previous cases shown excellent adjustment to time difference, so he was the expected favourite for the Bilbao stage anyway. But Chucky's lead was so clear that without that unfortunate Sao Paulo incident (and its consequences) he would have taken the sole first with "all probability".
In general, the idea to divide the tournament on two continents is stupid and does not improve chances for quality chess.
Why does Ivanchuk, a player capable of crushing anyone on the planet when he has eaten his Weetabix, get beaten with such ease by Carlsen, time and time again? Don't tell me it's on days when hee forgets his Weetabix?
Didn't Invanchuk stay in the meantime in Frankfurt where he traveled the next day with his wife?
This point needs to be emphasized: "In general, the idea to divide the tournament on two continents is stupid and does not improve chances for quality chess."
Because Carlsen is clearly better than him and owns him (with either W or B) -- as was the case here, and earlier this year in Bazna as well. That's why.
They don't do it for the quality chess, but for the quality prize money.
What does "clearly better than him" mean? In terms of rating he is clearly better than lots of people but he doesn't kill them like that, time after time. Ivanchuk has reasonable results against people that Carlsen does not "own", so for me, it's a mystery. He genuinely plays several levels lower than his best against Carlsen, time and time again. Not disputing the great play of Carlsen, either.
The Carlsen, Nakamura, Ivanchuk triangle is interesting;
Nakamura might still think of himself as the best blitz player in the land, but he has trouble beating Ivanchuk. Ivanchuk cannot beat Carlsen at blitz. Meanwhile, Nakamura has a better record v. Carlsen, though you wouldn't want to put any serious money on him if they got into a public match (based on previous private results with a large sampling size).
Is it Magnus Carlsen who is really the "player capable of crushing anyone on the planet?"
I think we'll find out beyond a shadow of a doubt next month in the tournament with most of these blokes again plus Svidler and Grischuk.
I started out talking about Blitz above, but I meant the last two sentences to apply across formats, because they are closely related.
Yeah, it's strange, Ivanchuk has been unbeatable for Anand and Kramnik the last five years but they have both lost to him and drawn lots of games, while Carlsen has 8 wins and +6 in the same period, and that includes many games from before Carlsen reached the top 10.
Also against Radjabov does Carlsen have a big plus while he's never beaten Gelfand. But Gelfand is regularly crushed by Radjabov (+0 -4 =3 in their last games). Not to speak of the Aronian-Anand mystery. Head to head results are hard to draw conclusions from.
Question to all: Is there a stronger tournament in the past 25 years than the Unive' Tournament next month? Tata Steel 2010 (based on ratings, perhaps not)?
Hard to imagine a stronger tournament ever than Univé with Giri, Vachier-Lagrave, Polgar and Kramnik :)
Oops. My bad. I mean Tal Memorial. Add Kramnik to that as well.
Ivanchuk's score and play against Carlsen is a mystery, probably "something between the ears" as a Dutch saying goes. But it isn't the only mystery:
- Carlsen also owns Topalov: same story, it isn't just that Topalov loses, but how he lost in quite a few games
- Aronian owns Anand
- Kasparov used to own Shirov ... of course here a plus score was logical, but not +17=15-0
Maybe most mysterious: Svidler does, or did own Nakamura. They haven't faced each other in a while, next stop for both is Tal Memorial.
Topalov vs Leko is another mystery, not a huge difference between them in playing level the last decade but Topalov has 8-0 in wins after his last loss.
As a comparison Leko drew every game but one of the last maybe 20 he played against Kasparov, and never lost with white (and was never close to a loss either). Topalov on the other hand just kept lining up wins, five of them with black.
On a completely new tangent:
Some credit has to be given to FIDE for organizing 3 Women's Grand Prix tournaments in 3 consecutive months.
Rostov, Russia, 1–15 August 2011
Shenzhen, China, 6–20 September 2011
Nalchik, Russia, 8–23 October 2011
Also, the Hou Yi-Fan--Humpy Koneru Women's World Championship match will take place in Tirana, Albania (!), starting in November. If only FIDE supported Open (Men's) chess so effectively.
The Final 3 events in the 2011-2022 Grand Prix are:
Kazan, Russia, 30 May – 13 June 2012
Jermuk, Armenia, 16–30 July 2012
Istanbul, Turkey, 16–30 November 2012
So far, Hou Yi-Fan has won two clear 1st Places in Rostov and Shenzhen, already making her the prohibitive favorite to clinch this Grand Prix.
Finally, it is of interest that some of the same cities are again opting to host FIDE Grand Prix events. I guess that they get a lot for their Euros....
I wonder if Anand has been helping Koneru (of course we'll never know for sure unless she wins the match)...looking forward to that title match.
I doubt Anand will waste his time with Humpy. She's a decent player with a good memory, but a definite underdog against someone as classy as Hou - this is kinda like a Federer-Nadal matchup when Fed' used to be #1.
They just announced that Carlsen's agreed to play in the next Candidates' (!), since it's a round-robin tournament rather than matches. But a curious proviso is the stipulation that "The players cannot draw a game by agreement." This seems to me to be preposterous; the games could go on almost endlessly in that case. Unless this is merely for "show" - i.e., to discourage early draws and encourage fighting chess - it would make much more sense, I think, to restrict draw agreements to, say, games after 30 or 40 moves.
What do the rest of you people say?
if two players want to draw, there will be no stopping them. Therefore, any written provision is silly.
..restrict draw agreements to games after 30 or 40 moves.
There are still many other ways for two willing players to tacitly arrange a draw. The most common method is to concoct a position which engenders a (relatively plausible) 3-Fold Repetition of Moves. Often, this can be achieved by a "Perpetual Check", or perpetual harassment of some other piece.
Occasionally, the players who want a Draw will play down until "Bare Kings" are on the
chessboard. That's a draw via insufficient material. Less frequent are dry by the 50 Move Rule, or Draw by Stalemate.
The advent of the Sofia rules has led to an increase in the number of Draws reached by Triple Repetition.
So, don't worry.
For the record, I would not object to Draws by Agreement * after * Move # 60.
Anti-Draw rules seem to have a slightly positive impact in reducing the number of Draws. They are more effective at prolonging the length of the game, in terms of # of moves played.
Thus, it is sometimes easier for Top players just to play 40 moves or so, chopping wood so as to end up with a sterile, equal endgame position.
I wouldn't be surprised to see Carlsen insist on that silly 3-1-0 "Soccer Style" scoring system--the implementation of which would favor him
Yeah, like in the Grand Slam final where he scored +2 while Ivanchuk scored +1 and he still had to play blitz tiebreak.
The point is to rid the world of so-called 'grandmaster draws,' where the players basically agree to a draw - usually in under 15 moves - so they can go home early, or play it safe to preserve standing and prize money.
It's a strategy, but not a satisfying one for most.
Carlsen is a very good tournament player, grabbing point after point from nothing, mixed with clean wins and few losses. Hardly surprises me that he wants the W.ch to be as such. His match play is not so clear. Might be great might not. His preparation is not usually as deep as other top 10 players (there are exceptions, yes) and that would be emphasised in a match, where he might fall prey to nasty novelties. For the moment he is successfully limiting his opening repertoire (which is becoming quite Karpovian for the most part-no bad thing, I like to see it)and getting positions where he has just play and play and win. Therefore his course of action is hardly surprising.
Perhaps"Soccer scoring" does seem to suit Ivanchuk as well. With respect to Bilbao, the exception serves the rule. On balance, Carlsen benefits from such scoring artifices...when one considers the likely composition of the rest of the field in that Candidates' event.
And yes, I'd be satisfied to see Carlsen hoist by one of his own petards.
In any case, the field is mostly set:
Svidler, Grischuk, Ivanchuk
Loser: Anand/Gelfand World Championship match
Carlsen, Aronian, and some other high rated dude
I suppose if Morozevich gets a slot, he'd benefit from the 3-1-0
Wild Card pick by organizer....
Maybe we should be talking about the possibility of Kasparov participating in the world championship as well as Carlsen.
According to section 2.3, the top 3 active rated players get automatic invites. At 2812, Kasparov is ranked #3 and would just need to play 1 fide rated game to be considered active and qualify, no?
Fischer claimed that Soviet players were rigging candidate tournaments and refused to play in candidate tournaments and insisted on candidate matches.
Now Carlsen wants a tournament because it suits his style of playing.
By any chance if he fails to win the tournament, will we see a similar claim of rigging by him?
Naturally, Carlsen will say that it all was rigged by the Russians, sounds just like the style of guys like Fischer and him, right?
"They just announced that Carlsen's agreed to play in the next Candidates' (!),"
Not quite. He has signalled interest in playing iff a) The proposed format is kept, and b) FIDE presents the players with rock solid contracts (meaning no more arbitrary changing of rules, venues, dates and what have you).
Formally he hasn't qualified yet, so there are no formal agreements. It's a signalled interest, nothing more.
It will be interesting to see Carlsen perform under the wch cycle even if it is a tournament format. The pressure and nerves are bigger.
"Naturally, Carlsen will say that it all was rigged by the Russians, sounds just like the style of guys like Fischer and him, right?"
Yeah, except it's a figment of your imagination.
It's also a much stronger tournament than events like Biel and Bazna, Bilbao comes close but then Carlsen didn't win that with any huge margin either. The difference is so small at the top that it's hard to predict who will win, just like it's hard to predict who will win Tal Memorial (maybe Aronian or Nakamura?).
Also, his opponents will be of higher quality and more focused (so less chances of him getting easy endgame wins from dead even positions). This is not to say that Carlsen doesn't deserve credit for eking out wins from nowhere but, for example, those two games Kramnik drew and lost (where he should have won and drawn, respectively) - I don't see that happening in a WC event.
So for Carlsen to be considered favorite in the candidates tournament, he would need to work hard on gaining advantages in the opening - not something he has enjoyed working on.
Finally, I don't believe that switching to a tournament format is the only reason he's willing to reconsider. Two main reason imo, are - firstly, he probably didn't expect to receive so much flak from fans and commentators for 'chickening out' last time; secondly, he is getting stronger and Anand weaker (and perhaps less motivated too), so if he does qualify he probably has a slightly better chance in a match again Anand.
"those two games Kramnik drew and lost (where he should have won and drawn, respectively) - I don't see that happening in a WC event"
Kramnik just didn't bother and let Carlsen get some free points. Or maybe not.
"So for Carlsen to be considered favorite in the candidates tournament, he would need to"
I don't think he would need to much, hard to see some other player as more likely to win than Carlsen who has won 9 of his 12 latest tournaments. Still there are many with chances in such a strong field so maybe 35% that Carlsen wins.
Apart from that I think Carlsen really was surprised that so many called him a chicken and didn't understand at all how he could be so critical of FIDE for changing their rules and inserting that knockout. But I don't believe in the "he knew he has no chance against Anand in 2012" explanation. I'm sure Carlsen sees himself as the strongest player in the world and would expect to win a match against anyone already today.
It would be more interesting when someone like Jeff Sonas comes up with numbers. Assuming Carlsen does agree to play, so far we have 5 names for the next candidates tournament - Carlsen, Svidler, Grischuk, Ivanchuk, Gelfand. And maybe Kramnik and Aronian (based on rating) with Radjabov/Karjakin/Nakamura as the organizer's nominee.
As for chances in a match against Anand, no 2700+ player will have "no chances", but to pick Carlsen as favorite in a *match* against Anand based on his *tournament* results is a stretch imo. Even their classical head-to-head results in tournaments isn't a reliable indicator (Anand should be more of a favorite in a match than say, over two games in a double round robin event) but those results are the least one should look at before saying things like "[Carlsen] would expect to win a match against anyone already today".
"those results are the least one should look at before saying things like "[Carlsen] would expect to win a match against anyone already today""
I think Anand would expect to win a match against Aronian in spite of having gone 0-5 against him the last years. The 2800+ players are just not the type of guys that tell themselves "I will have to come up with some excuse to withdraw from the World Championship because I'm not good enough to win it".
[quote]secondly, he is getting stronger and Anand weaker (and perhaps less motivated too), so if he does qualify he probably has a slightly better chance in a match again Anand.[unquote]
You believe that. But does Carlsen believe that? OR do the top chess people believe that?
If so, would we be seeing a tournament for candidates or championship? Would people be asking for reasonable champion privileges be scrapped? At least their actions prove otherwise!
If I were to judge players by the recently concluded bilbao games, I would rate Anand as the top most performer! Because I would use move quality which is what would scare your opponent when you sit across the table than your game results. Also by move quality I don't just mean matching Houdini moves which you can probably do if you had prepared well enough and drive the game your way. It is about your ability to match computer moves when position gets unclear or unfamiliar.
Now the system is manipulated by this candidates tournament (anti-Anand system!!). So Anand has no option but to win against Gelfand. And he will!!
"If I were to judge players by the recently concluded bilbao games, I would rate Anand as the top most performer!"
Quick, someone fetch a strait-jacket! I'll hold him until you get back! Go, go, hurry, he's frothing at the mouth!
professor, let me illustrate my point to you.
If a 2800 rated strong computer, Anand, Kramnik, Carlsen, Aronian and Nakamura were to play a double round robin, the strategies of the human players would be draw against the computer and to try for win against other human opponents. Why? Because that is how it is! You can't possibly poke a hole in computer play. The 2800 rated computer may not even finish first if the scoring is 3-1-0! This is one of the drawback with the tournament system.
Who would be the most feared player for you if a match is to be played? The tournament winner or the computer?
So professor, you can't base your conclusion on the mere tournament results. The computer did it part as long as it showed a 2800 rating performance! It is a matter of concern only when the computer does a dumb move!
"I would use move quality"
Provide detailed analysis showing that Anand's play was better than everyone else's.
Might I also remind you that Mr Carlsen is also over 2800.
Let me recall from some of Anand's game from my memory.
1. Vallejo-Anand
Ultra-brilliant technique from Anand. Move by move he gradually improved his position and pulled out a win from nowhere in that game.
2. Anand-Aronian
Was a flawless game. Again Anand gradually improved but probably there was no win. He could have pressed on but he gamble in Aronian's time pressure with his f4!? move and it was completely even after that.
3. Anand-Ivanchuk
e5 was an ambitious move. But what would you do in a 3-1-0 except to go for a win with white? But Anand almost held the inferior position afterwards unless for the mistake when the game went down to the last minute or two with no more time to be added.
4. Aronian-Anand
Tried hard to take Aronian out of theory moving knight twice etc in the opening phase and got into inferior position. If at all Anand has to worry, this is the only game to be worried. But it was uncharacteristic of Anand to play fast and give up so easily so I would just subsribe his loss to motivation factor.
5. Anand-Nakamura
I think Anand was slightly inferior or if at all there was a win, it was for black with the extra pawn, but Nakamura plays f5 and Anand immediately grabs that chance to sac another pawn by moving g5!! and held the game so easily.
Anand is not used to commit much mistakes or inaccurate moves leave alone blunders.
I haven't seen much of other's games so I can't comment much. But seeing some of the other games, I don't see such quality as that of Anand's games. Moreover you have to highlight others weaknesses to look into the quality of their games but I don't want to do that. Let me just stick with Anand's games.
Assumptions should be thrown out, my friends. That is, do not assume that Vishy Anand will get past Boris Gelfand!
I expect that match to be very close.
Now, Magnus Carlsen is not the highest-rated player in the entire world for nothing, but as I've said before, and someone also noted above, he is not one of the better prepared of the elite. The guy pretty much wins games on sheer talent and guile.
As well, no one should be dumb enough to bet the house on either him or Anand if they were to play right now.
Two, three years from now? Several factors in the equation could be different.
Oh, and Magnus probably doesn't give a good damn about what the fans think. Chicken? Oh, please. He knows what he needs to do. The so-called fans are always going to be a step behind what's happening at the top, and they don't always have his best interest in mind, even if they would back him!
Best to just sit back, listen, and learn. That leaves a better chance for the issuance of intelligent comments.
One last reminder: Elite players still find moves that computers don't see or that are superior to what the computers do see.
There is some evidence Fischer was correct. A probit study in my office/pigpen somewhere supports his assertions. Curiously the player who possibly suffered most from "Soviet collusion" was posited to be Reshevsky not Fischer.
Agreed!
Or use the old way of immediate replay, same colours, as a "Bronstein" 20min plus 10secs. If still a draw then W gets his/her heart's desire of a draw and 0.5 point but B gets 1.0 point, rationale being B has had to draw both games, statistically harder esp amonst the elite.
I guess you're not including the epic 40 game private blitz duel between Carlsen and Naka.
"I will have to come up with some excuse to withdraw from the World Championship because I'm not good enough to win it".
Fischer
@PircAlert
Who performed the best in the Grand Slam final? Was it Carlsen, rated World #1 and the actual winner of the tournament? Ivanchuk, who finished 2nd on tie-break after being in a crushing lead half-way through? Maybe Nakamura, a top contender up until and even after his clock débacle, or even Vallejo, bottom seed who snatched full points from more than one super-GM? No, Anand, of course.
Look, we all know and understand that nothing Anand or anyone else ever does is going to change your opinion that he's the greatest ever. It's just that the complete lack of logic and critical thinking in your posts is starting to become unbearable.
First of all, assuming you're even remotely capable of judging the "move quality" of super GM games, how can you tell Anand's games were the best if you didn't bother to look at all games? And what does your computer performance hypothetic have to do with anything?
Sure, Anand played some good games, but so did everyone else. And when he crashes and burns in 25 moves against Aronian, you conclude that a lack of motivation must be to blame? Yeah, facing the World's #3 in the Grand Slam final hardly seems worth getting out of bed for ... But assuming that was the case, the problem would be with him, not with the football scoring system.
Why can't you just accept that the World Champion played, by his standards, a not-so-good tournament? It doesn't make him any less great, at least not to those who understand anything about chess. Or would that just wreck your world?
Which comment are you referring to? I mentioned Mr. Nakamura and Blitz days ago. I said then that in the private blitz match between Magnus and Hikaru, Hikaru got the short end of it, and it wasn't close. Tell me if I'm wrong.
Generally, I believe that - when it's really on the line - Vishy Anand, Boris Gelfand, Magnus Carlsen, Levon Aronian, and maybe Teimour Radjabov are the elite of the elite in Blitz, w/o prioritzing their place, because at this date, any choice of one over the other is arguable and solvable only by more than one direct competition.
It doesn't matter so much to me who placed in what order in the 2010 World Blitz. My conclusion derives from everything we've seen over the past three or four years.
Reasons for including those four names: Anand has a long-standing reputation for being a superior Blitz player; Aronian won World Blitz a point clear - and it might easily have been more than that; Carlsen was 2nd there, and he has shown his mettle this past year against Nakamura and Ivanchuk in matches (private (N) and public (I)); Gelfand has shown more than once that he rises to the occasion when the chips are down; and Radjabov finished third at the last World Blitz in a very talented field, and he has always had a good reputation in the short game.
I agree that Anand does not have a clear edge against Gelfand, but it so happens that when Anand gets motivated to win, it becomes virtually impossible to stop it. He also has a proven great team that works with him. This is the reason, why I would give a huge edge to Anand over somebody like Carlsen. How will Carlsen handle his seconds, does he know how to bring about the best from those who work for him? Apparently Carlsen has very little experience here. One can say he has been great in tournaments, true but he has never experienced the nerves of a wch match. How will you play in a situation, where you know that if you lose, it will be several years before you fight for it again. When kasparov was young, he proved that he has what it takes to be wch. Similarly carlsen needs to prove it, but until then, some questions remains unanswerd. How will you play when you and the whole world has had their mind on that one big event for close to a whole year and finally the moment comes, The wch match is just such a huge stage, no tournament that Carlsen has played comes remotely close to the pressure of a wch match. Much of the above are reasons why Carlsen is not a favorite in a match against anyone who has experience in wch matches let alone against Anand. Before the Anand Topalov game, Carlsen mentioned that experience does not count for much in a ChessVibes interview. That clearly speaks volumes about his immaturity. He simply did not want to accept, since that would mean he is rating his chances in such a match much lower. Only time will tell whether Carlsen has the ability to handle all of the above extraneal factors in a wch match. Carlsen can play great chess, we all know that, the question is can he play the same under those different conditions, when your opponent has focused all their energy and time in preparing for you. I hope to know in 2013